Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39238198›Full record

ArticleAnnals of clinical and translational neurology2024

Serum glial fibrillary acidic protein predicts disease progression in multiple sclerosis.

Evan Madill, Brian C Healy, Negar Molazadeh, Mariann Polgar-Turcsanyi, Bonnie I Glanz, Howard L Weiner, Tanuja Chitnis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of clinical and translational neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Prognostic value of neurofilament light chain protein and glial fibrillary acidic protein in multiple sclerosis subtypes and disease activity patterns: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Impact of age, BMI, and renal function adjustment on interpretation of serum NfL and GFAP in multiple sclerosis progression: a scoping review.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Exercise Training and Biomarkers of Neuroaxonal Injury in Multiple Sclerosis: Narrative Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Predictors of risk of secondary progression in multiple sclerosis.Therapeutic advances in neurological disorders · 2025
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Relapse or no relapse in multiple sclerosis: Can disease activity biomarkers support the clinician?Multiple sclerosis journal - experimental, translational and clinical
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Evan MadillBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Brian C HealyBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Negar MolazadehBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mariann Polgar-TurcsanyiBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Bonnie I GlanzBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Howard L WeinerBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Tanuja ChitnisBrigham Multiple Sclerosis Center, Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9897-4422

Funding

American Academy of NeurologyDefense Human Resources Activity W81XWH2110633
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveGlial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) is expressed in astrocytes and may be a useful marker of non-active progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). We evaluate serum GFAP (sGFAP) in a large cohort of MS patients to determine if it predicts progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), future gait aid, and conversion to secondary progressive disease (SPMS).

methodsAdults with clinically isolated syndrome or any subtype of MS who were listed in the Brigham MS Center Research Database and had at least one sGFAP result were included. All clinic visits following first sample were analyzed for PIRA, future gait aid, and conversion to SPMS. Future cognitive dysfunction and fatigue were evaluated as secondary outcomes.

resultsIn total, 741 patients were included (average age: 42.3, average disease duration: 3.7 years, median EDSS: 2, and median follow-up duration: 10.0 years). Of 643 patients (86.8%) without progressive disease at baseline, 15.9% developed SPMS. Among all 741, 50.5% had PIRA and 18.6% developed a gait aid requirement. sGFAP level predicted PIRA, future gait aid, and conversion to SPMS in univariable models (p < 0.001, <0.001, and 0.002). sGFAP remained predictive for PIRA and future gait aid in multivariable models in those younger than 50 (p = 0.048, 0.003). Change in sGFAP level over time was not predictive. There was no association between sGFAP and future fatigue or cognitive dysfunction.

interpretationsGFAP helps to predict PIRA, future gait aid, and conversion to SPMS in a large cohort of MS patients. Our data suggest that baseline levels may be more useful than the change over time.

Indexed as

Glial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinMultiple SclerosisAdultBiomarkersCognitive DysfunctionDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Sclerosis, Chronic ProgressiveBiomarkersGFAP protein, humanGlial Fibrillary Acidic Protein

Identifiers

PMID39238198
PMCPMC11514927

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.