Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39232004›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Substantial nitrogen abatement accompanying decarbonization suppresses terrestrial carbon sinks in China.

Fang Shang, Mingxu Liu, Yu Song, Xingjie Lu, Qiang Zhang, Hitoshi Matsui, Lingli Liu, Aijun Ding, Xin Huang, Xuejun Liu and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Multimetric analysis uncovers time-dependent climate forcings from China's 2.3-fold cropland reactive nitrogen emissions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Fang Shang *State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Mingxu Liu *State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Yu SongState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China. songyu@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2455-2999
Xingjie LuSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, 510275, Guangzhou, China. luxingj@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Qiang ZhangMinistry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, 100084, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8376-131X
Hitoshi MatsuiGraduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0376-0879
Lingli LiuState Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100093, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5696-3151
Aijun DingSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, 210023, Nanjing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4481-5386
Xin HuangSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, 210023, Nanjing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0922-5014
Xuejun LiuCollege of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, 100193, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8367-5833
Junji CaoInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100029, Beijing, China.
Zifa WangInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100029, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7062-6012
Yongjiu DaiSchool of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, 510275, Guangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3588-6644
Ling KangState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Xuhui CaiState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Hongsheng ZhangLaboratory for Climate and Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, School of Physics, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2602-2235
Tong ZhuState Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China. tzhu@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2752-7924

Funding

National Science Foundation of China | National Natural Science Foundation of China-Yunnan Joint Fund (NSFC-Yunnan Joint Fund) 42075180
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

China faces challenges in reaching its carbon neutrality goal by the year 2060 to meet the Paris Agreement and improving air quality simultaneously. Dramatic nitrogen emission reductions will be brought by this ambitious target, yet their impact on the natural ecosystem is not clear. Here, by combining two atmospheric chemistry models and two process-based terrestrial ecosystem models constrained using nationwide measurements, we show that atmospheric nitrogen deposition in China's terrestrial land will decrease by 44-57% following two emission control scenarios including one aiming at carbon neutrality. They consequently result in a pronounced shrinkage in terrestrial net ecosystem production, by 11-20% depending on models and emission scenarios. Our results indicate that the nitrogen emission reductions accompanying decarbonization would undermine natural carbon sinks and in turn set back progress toward carbon neutrality. This unintended impact calls for great concern about the trade-offs between nitrogen management and carbon neutrality.

Identifiers

PMID39232004
PMCPMC11375097

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.