Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39218429›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2025

Assessing the certainty of the evidence in systematic reviews: importance, process, and use.

Romina Brignardello-Petersen, Gordon H Guyatt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 24 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 24 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 24 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Romina Brignardello-PetersenDepartment of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
Gordon H GuyattDepartment of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When interpreting results and drawing conclusions, authors of systematic reviews should consider the limitations of the evidence included in their review. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach provides a framework for the explicit consideration of the limitations of the evidence included in a systematic review, and for incorporating this assessment into the conclusions. Assessments of certainty of evidence are a methodological expectation of systematic reviews. The certainty of the evidence is specific to each outcome in a systematic review and can be rated as high, moderate, low, or very low. Because it will have an important impact, before assessing the certainty of evidence, reviewers must clarify the intent of their question: are they interested in causation or association. Serious concerns regarding limitations in the study design, inconsistency, imprecision, indirectness, and publication bias can decrease the certainty of the evidence. Using an example, this article describes and illustrates the importance and the steps for assessing the certainty of evidence and drawing accurate conclusions in a systematic review.

Indexed as

Evidence-Based MedicineReview Literature as TopicSystematic Reviews as TopicHumansResearch Designcertainty of evidencegrade approachquality of evidencesystematic reviews

Identifiers

PMID39218429
PMCPMC12133264

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.