Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39214629›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open respiratory research2024

Does timing of tocilizumab administration affect mortality in COVID-19? A Scottish multicentre retrospective cohort study.

Fiona MacGregor, Alison Oprey, Carolyn Caulfield, Pamela MacTavish, Richard Lowrie, Philip Henderson

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open respiratory research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Fiona MacGregorRoyal Alexandra Hospital, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0009-0008-8994-1689
Alison OpreyQueen Elizabeth University Hospital, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK.
Carolyn CaulfieldQueen Elizabeth University Hospital, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK.
Pamela MacTavishGlasgow Royal Infirmary, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK.
Richard LowriePharmacy Services, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Philip HendersonRoyal Alexandra Hospital, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK philip.henderson@ggc.scot.nhs.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe optimal timing of tocilizumab treatment during the disease course of COVID-19 has yet to be adequately defined in the context of randomised controlled trials and the effect of tocilizumab on real-world populations remains unclear. We examined the effect of different timing of tocilizumab, on mortality, in a cohort of adults with COVID-19.

methodsAll adults (≥18 years old) with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to four hospitals in the West of Scotland between 8 January 2021 and 31 March 2021 and who received tocilizumab were included in a retrospective observational cohort study. Patients were assigned to either an early (day of admission or first day after admission) or late (days 2-7 of admission) cohort based on tocilizumab initiation. The primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality in early versus late cohorts. Secondary outcomes were 28 and 180-day all-cause mortality.

results203 patients were included in the analysis (138 in the early cohort, 65 in the late cohort). Mortality in 90 days in the early cohort was 22% (n=30) compared with 45% (n=29) in the late cohort (p<0.001). The adjusted mortality was significantly higher in the late cohort compared with the early cohort (adjusted OR: 3.33; 95% CI: 1.29 to 8.54; p=0.012). The secondary outcomes demonstrated the same effect with higher rates of death in 28 days (late cohort adjusted OR: 3.28; 95% CI: 1.23 to 8.75; p=0.018) and 180 days (late cohort adjusted OR: 3.70; 95% CI: 1.45 to 9.45; p=0.006). The effect was seen whether the outcome was adjusted or unadjusted.

conclusionEarly administration of tocilizumab within the first 2 days of hospitalisation was associated with a significant survival benefit compared with late exposure. Late administration was associated with particularly high mortality. The observed association may be a result of residual confounders and further research is needed.

Indexed as

Antibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedCOVID-19COVID-19 Drug TreatmentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDrug Administration ScheduleFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2ScotlandTime FactorsTreatment OutcomeAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedtocilizumabCOVID-19Critical CareRespiratory InfectionViral infection

Identifiers

PMID39214629
PMCPMC11367351

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.