Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39213147›Full record

SynthesisJournal of managed care & specialty pharmacy2024

Budget impact models for lung cancer interventions: A systematic literature review.

Michael Willis, Andreas Nilsson, Klas Kellerborg, Zin Min Thet Lwin, Arsela Prelaj

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of managed care & specialty pharmacy, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michael WillisThe Swedish Institute for Health Economics, Lund, Sweden.
Andreas NilssonThe Swedish Institute for Health Economics, Lund, Sweden.
Klas KellerborgThe Swedish Institute for Health Economics, Lund, Sweden.
Zin Min Thet LwinThe Swedish Institute for Health Economics, Lund, Sweden.
Arsela PrelajMedical Oncology Department 1, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBudget impact models (BIMs) forecast the financial implications of adopting new technologies and the potential need for budget reallocation, thus playing a crucial role in reimbursement decisions. Despite the importance of accurate forecasts, studies indicate large discrepancies between estimates and reality. We are developing an artificial intelligence-based clinical decision tool to identify patients with non-small cell lung cancer who are most likely to benefit from immunotherapy.

objectiveTo evaluate the budgetary implications and describe a systematic literature review of published lung cancer BIMs.

methodsWe searched PubMed and EMBASE for studies published between 2010 and 2023 that include BIMs that describe lung cancer interventions. Forward and backward reference searches were performed for all qualifying studies. We extracted author and publication year, country, interventions, disease stages, time horizon, analytical perspective, modeling methods used, types of costs included, sensitivity analyses conducted, and data sources used. We then evaluated adherence to the Professional Society for Health Economics and Pharmacoeconomics Research best-practice guidelines.

resultsA total of 25 BIMs were identified, spanning 14 different countries. Model structure could not be ascertained definitively for nearly half of the models. The cost calculator approach was most common among the others. Time horizons ranged from 1 to 5 years, in line with recommendations. Most models compared drugs, 4 compared nondrug interventions, and 7 compared diagnostic technologies. Assumptions about market uptake were poorly documented and poorly motivated. Inclusion of cancer-related costs was rare. Adherence to best practices was variable and did not appear to improve over time.

conclusionsThe number of published BIMs for lung cancer exceeded expectations. There were modest trends toward publication frequency and model quality over time. Our analysis revealed variability across the models, as well as their adherence to best practices, indicating substantial room for improvement. Although none of the models were individually suitable for the purpose of evaluating an artificial intelligence-based treatment selection tool, some models provided valuable insights.

Indexed as

BudgetsLung NeoplasmsModels, EconomicCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansImmunotherapy

Identifiers

PMID39213147
PMCPMC11366214

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.