Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39211337›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2024

Global, regional, and national burden of syphilis, 1990-2021 and predictions by Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.

Wenxia Yu, Xiaoyan You, Wei Luo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Infection and immunity · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Frontiers in immunology · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Comparative analysis of language models in addressing syphilis-related queries.Medicina oral, patologia oral y cirugia bucal · 2025
    Article
  16. Participants inFrontiers in immunology · 2025
    Review
  17. Atypical Dermatological Manifestations of Syphilis in Advanced HIV: A Case-Based Narrative Review.Mediterranean journal of hematology and infectious diseases · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Wenxia YuDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, China.
Xiaoyan YouDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, China.
Wei LuoDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To comprehensively assess the global burden of syphilis and related risk factors over 1990-2021, forecast future disease trends, and understand the impact of syphilis on global health. Methods: Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data were used for age-, sex-, and region-stratified analysis of the numbers and age-standardized rates (per 100,000 population) of syphilis incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Next, a differential analysis of syphilis risk factors was performed. Finally, trends for years after 2021 were predicted using Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) prediction models. Results: In 2021, the total number of syphilis prevalence globally was 70,541,482.80 (95% uncertainty interval: 54,910,897.66-88,207,651.97), with the highest numbers noted in Central Sub-Saharan Africa [4,622.60 (95% uncertainty interval: 3,591.97-5,753.45)]. Over 1990-2021, the global age-standardized prevalence and incidence rates increased, whereas the age-standardized death and DALY rates decreased. Among all groups, infants aged <5 years demonstrated the highest age-standardized DALY rates. Moreover, the lower the sociodemographic index (SDI), the higher was the age-standardized rate. The primary factor contributing to syphilis disease burden was identified to be unsafe sex. BAPC analysis revealed an overall increase in age-standardized prevalence rate in the <5-year age group over 1990-2035, and the highest age-standardized prevalence rate occurred in the 25-34-year age group. Conclusion: Between 1990 and 2021, syphilis occurrence and prevalence increased consistently. Projections indicated a continual increase in syphilis incidence in children aged <5 years, and age-standardized prevalence rates were the highest in adults aged 25-34 years. Our results regarding the epidemiological trends of syphilis and its variations across regions, age groups, and sexes may aid policymakers in addressing the global impact of the disease effectively.

Indexed as

age-standardized ratedisease burdenprevalencerisk factorsyphilis

Identifiers

PMID39211337
PMCPMC11357943

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.