ArticleBMC infectious diseases2024
Low platelet to high-density lipoprotein ratio predicts poor short-term prognosis in hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundAcute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by a systemic inflammatory response, predominantly associated with hepatitis B virus in the Asia-Pacific region, with a high short-term mortality rate. The platelet to high-density lipoprotein ratio (PHR) has been used to predict the prognosis of patients with various inflammatory diseases. We aim to is to use the PHR to predict the short-term prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF.
methodIn this study, we retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 270 HBV-ACLF patients. Using logistic regression, we identified independent risk factors for short-term mortality and developed a prognostic model. This model was then validated, compared, and its clinical utility assessed via decision curve analysis (DCA).
resultsAmong the 270 HBV-ACLF patients, 98 patients died within 28 days. The deceased group exhibited a higher proportion of severe hepatic encephalopathy and ascites. Additionally, there was a statistically significant difference (P = 0.046) in the novel inflammation scoring system, PHR, between the two groups. Following stringent variable selection, PHR was identified as a predictive factor for short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients using logistic regression analysis (OR: 0.835 (0.756-0.999), P = 0.009), and it exhibited a synergistic effect with certain traditional scores. The prognostic model constructed based on PHR demonstrated a superior ability to predict short-term mortality compared to traditional scores such as Child-Turcotte-Pugh (AUC: 0.889). Evaluation using calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested its practical utility.
conclusionPHR can predict short-term mortality in patients, with a low PHR upon admission being associated with an increased risk of death.
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