Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39209818›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Leveraging artificial intelligence to identify the psychological factors associated with conspiracy theory beliefs online.

Jonas R Kunst, Aleksander B Gundersen, Izabela Krysińska, Jan Piasecki, Tomi Wójtowicz, Rafal Rygula, Sander van der Linden, Mikolaj Morzy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Intelligent Systems, Vulnerable Minds: A Framework for Radicalization to Violence in the Age of AI.Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jonas R KunstDepartment of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway. j.r.kunst@psykologi.uio.no.ORCID 0000-0002-5319-1256
Aleksander B Gundersen *Department of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-2642-4226
Izabela Krysińska *Faculty of Computing and Telecommunications, Poznan University of Technology, Poznan, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-3345-9291
Jan PiaseckiDepartment of Philosophy and Bioethics, Faculty of Health Sciences, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-1298-736X
Tomi WójtowiczFaculty of Computing and Telecommunications, Poznan University of Technology, Poznan, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-3442-072X
Rafal RygulaMaj Institute of Pharmacology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Krakow, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-3662-5833
Sander van der LindenDepartment of Psychology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0269-1744
Mikolaj MorzyFaculty of Computing and Telecommunications, Poznan University of Technology, Poznan, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-2905-9538

Funding

EEA Grants (European Economic Area Grants) 2019/35/J/HS6/03498
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Given the profound societal impact of conspiracy theories, probing the psychological factors associated with their spread is paramount. Most research lacks large-scale behavioral outcomes, leaving factors related to actual online support for conspiracy theories uncertain. We bridge this gap by combining the psychological self-reports of 2506 Twitter (currently X) users with machine-learning classification of whether the textual data from their 7.7 million social media engagements throughout the pandemic supported six common COVID-19 conspiracy theories. We assess demographic factors, political alignment, factors derived from theory of reasoned action, and individual psychological differences. Here, we show that being older, self-identifying as very left or right on the political spectrum, and believing in false information constitute the most consistent risk factors; denialist tendencies, confidence in one's ability to spot misinformation, and political conservativism are positively associated with support for one conspiracy theory. Combining artificial intelligence analyses of big behavioral data with self-report surveys can effectively identify and validate risk factors for phenomena evident in large-scale online behaviors.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceCOVID-19PoliticsSocial MediaAdultFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Self ReportYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39209818
PMCPMC11362279

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.