Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39209325›Full record

ArticleBMJ open ophthalmology2024

Cost-effectiveness of monitoring ocular hypertension based on a risk prediction tool.

Hangjian Wu, Gus Gazzard, Anthony King, James Morgan, David Wright, David P Crabb, Yemisi Takwoingi, Augusto Azuara-Blanco, Verity Watson, Rodolfo Hernández

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open ophthalmology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Hangjian WuHealth Economics Research Unit, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8377-3276
Gus GazzardNIHR Biomedical Research Centre, Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1982-5005
Anthony KingDepartment of Ophthalmology, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3091-911X
James MorganCardiff Centre for Vision Sciences, University of Wales College of Medicine, Cardiff, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8920-1065
David WrightCentre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8948-3691
David P CrabbDivision of Optometry & Visual Science, City University, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8754-3902
Yemisi TakwoingiPublic Health, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5828-9746
Augusto Azuara-BlancoCentre for Public Health, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4805-9322
Verity WatsonHealth Economics Research Unit, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3824-5076
Rodolfo HernándezHealth Economics Research Unit, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK r.a.hernandez@abdn.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-2619-8230

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsTo assess the cost-effectiveness of making treatment decisions for patients with ocular hypertension (OHT) based on a risk prediction (RP) tool in the United Kingdom.

methodsA discrete event simulation model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of an alternative care pathway in which the treatment decision was guided by a validated RP tool in secondary care against decision-making based on the standard care (SC). Individual patient sampling was used. Patients diagnosed with OHT and with an intraocular pressure of 24 mm Hg or over entered the model with a set of predefined individual characteristics related to their risk of conversion to glaucoma. These characteristics were retrieved from electronic medical records (n=5740). Different stages of glaucoma were modelled following conversion to glaucoma.

resultsAlmost all (99%) patients were treated using the RP strategy, and less than half (47%) of the patients were treated using the SC strategy. The RP strategy produced higher cost but also higher quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) than the SC strategy. The RP strategy was cost-effective compared with the SC strategy in the base-case analysis, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio value of £11 522. The RP strategy had a 96% probability of being cost-effective under a £20 000 per QALY threshold.

conclusionsThe use of an RP tool for the management of patients with OHT is likely to be cost-effective. However, the generalisability of the result might be limited due to the high-risk nature of this cohort and the specific RP threshold used in the study.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisIntraocular PressureOcular HypertensionQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAgedAntihypertensive AgentsFemaleHealth Care CostsHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited KingdomAntihypertensive AgentsGlaucomaOcular Hypertension

Identifiers

PMID39209325
PMCPMC11367344

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.