Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39192846›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2024

How can event attribution science underpin financial decisions on Loss and Damage?

Dim Coumou, Paola A Arias, Ana Bastos, Charlotte Kendra Gotangco Gonzales, Gabriele C Hegerl, Pandora Hope, Christopher Jack, Friederike Otto, Fahad Saeed, Olivia Serdeczny and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Dim CoumouInstitute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2155-8495
Paola A AriasGrupo de Ingeniería y Gestión Ambiental, Escuela Ambiental, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Antioquia, Calle 67, No 53-108, Medellín, Colombia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1726-6000
Ana BastosMax Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Department of Biogeochemical Integration, 07745 Jena, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7368-7806
Charlotte Kendra Gotangco GonzalesAteneo Institute of Sustainability, Ateneo de Manila University, Loyola Heights, Quezon City 1108, Philippines.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3436-9813
Gabriele C HegerlSchool of GeoSciences, Edinburgh University, Drummond St, EH8 9XP, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Pandora HopeBureau of Meteorology, Australian Government, 700 Collins St, Melbourne 3008, Australia.
Christopher JackClimate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0936-7277
Friederike OttoGrantham Institute, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Imperial College London, 32 Lincoln's Inn Fields, WC2A 3PH, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8166-5917
Fahad SaeedClimate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa.
Olivia SerdecznyClimate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6058-2143
Theodore G ShepherdDepartment of Meteorology, University of Reading, Whiteknights Road, Earley Gate, RG6 6ET, Reading, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968
Robert VautardInstitut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), French National Centre for Scientific Research, Université Paris-Saclay, Sorbonne Université, place Jussieu, 75252 Paris, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With climate extremes hitting nations across the globe, disproportionately burdening vulnerable developing countries, the prompt operation of the Loss and Damage fund is of paramount importance. As decisions on resource disbursement at the international level, and investment strategies at the national level, loom, the climate science community's role in providing fair and effective evidence is crucial. Attribution science can provide useful information for decision makers, but both ethical implications and deep uncertainty cannot be ignored. Considering these aspects, we articulate a vision that integrates established attribution methods and multiple lines of evidence within a coherent logical framework.

Indexed as

attributionclimate impactextreme weatherloss and damage

Identifiers

PMID39192846
PMCPMC11348561

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.