Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39191769›Full record

ArticleBlood cancer journal2024

Longitudinal assessment of established risk stratification models in patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance.

Kosima Zuern, Thomas Hielscher, Annika Werly, Iris Breitkreutz, Sandra Sauer, Marc S Raab, Carsten Müller-Tidow, Hartmut Goldschmidt, Elias K Mai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Blood cancer journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. A Comprehensive Review of Monoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined Significance.Journal of the advanced practitioner in oncology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Kosima ZuernHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0009-0006-9688-3697
Thomas HielscherDivision of Biostatistics, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Annika WerlyHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.
Iris BreitkreutzHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.
Sandra SauerHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5552-3149
Marc S RaabHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4181-6922
Carsten Müller-TidowHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.
Hartmut GoldschmidtHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0961-0035
Elias K MaiHeidelberg Myeloma Center, Internal Medicine V, Hematology, Oncology and Rheumatology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany. elias.mai@med.uni-heidelberg.de.ORCID 0000-0002-6226-1252

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Risk of progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) into multiple myeloma and related plasma cell disorders can be determined by three major risk stratification models, namely Mayo2005, Sweden2014, and NCI2019. This retrospective study of 427 patients with MGUS diagnosed according to the 2014 International Myeloma Working Group criteria aimed to describe and analyze the longitudinal applicability of these risk models. In all three models, the majority of patients remained at their baseline risk group, whereas small numbers of patients migrated to a different risk group. Proportions of patients among risk groups remained stable over time (e.g. Mayo2005 model, low-risk group, at baseline: 43%, after 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 8 years: 40%, 37%, 37%, 43%, 44%, and 43%). All three risk models reliably distinguished risk of progression at baseline, upon yearly reassessment (e.g. 1 year from diagnosis) and in time-dependent analyses. Upstaging to a high-risk category was associated with an increased risk of progression in all three models (Mayo2005: hazard ratio [HR] = 5.43, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.21-24.39, p = 0.027; Sweden2014: HR = 13.02, 95% CI 5.25-32.28, p < 0.001; NCI2019: HR = 5.85, 95% CI 2.49-13.74, p < 0.001). Our study shows that MGUS risk stratification models can be applied longitudinally to repeatedly determine and improve individual risk of progression. Patient migration to higher risk categories during follow up should prompt more frequent monitoring in clinical routine.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionMonoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined SignificanceAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMultiple MyelomaRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39191769
PMCPMC11349746

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.