Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39190182›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2025

Circulating Estrogen Metabolites and Risk of Breast Cancer among Postmenopausal Women in the Nurses' Health Study.

Kristen D Brantley, Regina G Ziegler, Neal E Craft, Susan E Hankinson, A Heather Eliassen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Estrogens and breast cancer.Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Kristen D BrantleyDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0003-0084-4775
Regina G ZieglerDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-5100-9852
Neal E CraftEurofins Craft Technologies, Wilson, North Carolina.ORCID 0009-0005-9640-6543
Susan E HankinsonUniversity of Massachusetts Amherst School of Public Health and Health Sciences, Amherst, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0003-1252-0305
A Heather EliassenDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0002-3961-6609

Funding

Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Training Program in Cancer EpidemiologyT32CA009001 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI A. Heather Eliassen, Meir Stampfer · 1985 to 2026
$17.3M
BIOCHEMICAL MARKERS IN THE NURSES'HEALTH STUDY COHORTR01CA049449 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI HANKINSON, SUSAN E · 1989 to 2008
$11.3M
BIOCHEMICAL MARKERS IN THE NURSES HEALTH STUDY COHORTU01CA049449 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS AMHERST · PI HANKINSON, SUSAN E · 1995 to 2013
$5.4M
Endogenous hormones and postmenopausal breast cancer: Etiologic insights and improving risk predictionR01CA207369 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS AMHERST · PI HANKINSON, SUSAN E · 2017 to 2021
$4.5M
Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (DCEG) Intramural Research programNCI NIH HHS R01 CA049449NCI NIH HHS R01 CA207369NCI NIH HHS T32 CA009001NCI NIH HHS U01 CA049449NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEstradiol and estrone are well-established risk factors for postmenopausal breast cancer. Experimental evidence suggests that specific estrogen metabolites, produced via irreversible hydroxylation of estrone and estradiol at position 2 or 16, may independently influence carcinogenesis.

methodsWe performed a nested case-control study of breast cancer (328 breast cancer cases; 639 controls) among postmenopausal women within the Nurses' Health Study to examine the role of estrogens and estrogen metabolites (jointly referred to as EM). Plasma concentrations of each EM (unconjugated + conjugated forms) were measured by LC-MS/MS. Multivariable conditional logistic regression, adjusting for breast cancer risk factors, estimated relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals of breast cancer across quintiles of individual EM, EM pathways, and pathway ratios. Associations by estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) status were analyzed by unconditional logistic regression.

resultsEstradiol and estrone were strongly associated with increased breast cancer risk [estradiol: RRQ5 vs. Q1 (95% confidence interval) = 2.64 (1.64-4.26); estrone: 2.78 (1.74-4.45); both P-trends <0.001]. The 2-hydroxylation pathway was strongly associated with risk [RRQ5 vs. Q1 = 3.09 (1.81-5.27); P-trend <0.001] and remained so after adjusting for unconjugated estradiol [RRQ5 vs. Q1 = 2.23 (1.25-3.96); P-trend = 0.01]. Although the 16-hydroxylation pathway was modestly associated with risk [RRQ5 vs. Q1 = 1.62 (1.03-2.54); P-trend = 0.01], the association was attenuated after unconjugated estradiol adjustment [RRQ5 vs. Q1 = 1.24 (0.77-1.99); P-trend = 0.19]. Similar positive associations with the 2-pathway and 16-pathway were observed for ER+/PR+ and ER-/PR- tumors.

conclusionsIn this cohort of postmenopausal women, 2-hydroxylation of estrone and estradiol was associated with increased breast cancer risk, independent of unconjugated estradiol. IMPACT: These results highlight the need to revisit the role of estrogen metabolism in breast cancer etiology and prevention. See related In the Spotlight, p. 367.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsEstradiolEstrogensEstronePostmenopauseAdultAgedCase-Control StudiesChromatography, LiquidFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNursesReceptors, EstrogenRisk FactorsTandem Mass SpectrometryEstradiolEstrogensEstroneReceptors, Estrogen

Identifiers

PMID39190182
PMCPMC11865363

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.