Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39187712›Full record

ArticleNature human behaviour2024

A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change.

Bojana Većkalov, Sandra J Geiger, František Bartoš, Mathew P White, Bastiaan T Rutjens, Frenk van Harreveld, Federica Stablum, Berkan Akın, Alaa Aldoh, Jinhao Bai and 36 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature human behaviour, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

46 authors.

Bojana Većkalov *Department of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8477-1261
Sandra J Geiger *Environmental Psychology, Department of Cognition, Emotion and Methods in Psychology, Faculty of Psychology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria. sandra.geiger@univie.ac.at.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3262-5609
František BartošDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0018-5573
Mathew P WhiteCognitive Science Hub, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4168-7289
Bastiaan T RutjensDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3163-4156
Frenk van HarreveldDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Federica StablumUniversity of Trento, Department of Psychology and Cognitive Science, Trento, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9712-9123
Berkan AkınDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Alaa AldohDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1988-0661
Jinhao BaiLiberal Arts Program, Faculty of Humanities, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-6865-1465
Frida BerglundDepartment of Psychology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6219-5016
Aleša Bratina ZimicDepartment of Medicine and Psychology, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7499-2896
Margaret BroylesDepartment of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Fu Foundation School of Engineering and Applied Science, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-3521-1465
Andrea CataniaDepartment of Psychology, University of Malta, Msida, Malta.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-9814-3914
Airu ChenDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-0341-6679
Magdalena ChorzępaDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Behavioural and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Eman FarahatDepartment of Psychology, Behavioural and Economic Science, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6467-8599
Jakob GötzDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Behavioural and Movement Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-1802-4556
Bat Hoter-IshayDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-8069-264X
Gesine JordanDepartment of Behavioural and Cognitive Sciences, University of Luxembourg, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-2635-9922
Siri JoustraDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-8532-9093
Jonas KlingebielSchool of General Studies, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-3482-6707
Živa KrajncDepartment of Psychology, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-5589-1400
Antonia KrugInstitute of Psychology, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.
Thomas Lind AndersenChild and Adolescent Mental Health Center, Copenhagen University Hospital-Mental Health Services CPH, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4220-1674
Johanna LöloffDepartment of Psychology, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2085-7514
Divya NatarajanDepartment of Cognitive Science, Barnard College, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Sasha Newman-OktanProgram in Cognitive Science, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-8577-9133
Elena NiehoffEnvironmental Policy Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-5826-6760
Celeste PaerelsDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Rachel PapirmeisterDepartment of Cognitive Science, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-1611-280X
Steven PeregrinaDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Felicia PohlFaculty of Psychology, Warsaw International Studies in Psychology, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-4103-3689
Amanda RemsöDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Education, Kristianstad University, Kristianstad, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4715-7000
Abigail RohDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-2321-2311
Binahayati RusyidiSocial Welfare Department & Center for CSR, Social Entrepreneurship & Community Empowerment, FISIP, Universitas Padjadjaran, Jatinangor-Sumedang, Indonesia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4870-9177
Justus SchmidtUniversity of Mannheim, Department of Psychology, School of Social Sciences, Mannheim, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4286-4571
Mariam ShavgulidzeInstitute of Psychology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-7757-0207
Valentina Vellinho NardinDepartment of Psychology, Faculty of Psychology and Education Sciences, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0927-5804
Ruixiang WangColumbia College, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Kelly WarnerDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Miranda WattierDepartment of Psychology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-6305-4198
Chloe Y WongBarnard College, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Mariem YounssiLAPCOS, Université Côte d'Azur, Nice, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-3739-7795
Kai RuggeriDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA. dar56@cam.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8470-101X
Sander van der LindenDepartment of Psychology, School of the Biological Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0269-1744

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) #2218595
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Communicating the scientific consensus that human-caused climate change is real increases climate change beliefs, worry and support for public action in the United States. In this preregistered experiment, we tested two scientific consensus messages, a classic message on the reality of human-caused climate change and an updated message additionally emphasizing scientific agreement that climate change is a crisis. Across online convenience samples from 27 countries (n = 10,527), the classic message substantially reduces misperceptions (d = 0.47, 95% CI (0.41, 0.52)) and slightly increases climate change beliefs (from d = 0.06, 95% CI (0.01, 0.11) to d = 0.10, 95% CI (0.04, 0.15)) and worry (d = 0.05, 95% CI (-0.01, 0.10)) but not support for public action directly. The updated message is equally effective but provides no added value. Both messages are more effective for audiences with lower message familiarity and higher misperceptions, including those with lower trust in climate scientists and right-leaning ideologies. Overall, scientific consensus messaging is an effective, non-polarizing tool for changing misperceptions, beliefs and worry across different audiences.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCommunicationConsensusAdultFemaleHumansMalePublic OpinionTrust

Identifiers

PMID39187712
PMCPMC11493676

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.