Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39174586›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

A novel metric-based approach of scoring early host immune response from oro-nasopharyngeal swabs predicts COVID-19 outcome.

Yogita Rajput, Arvind Neral, Nikita Sherwani, Vijaylakshmi Jain, Malti Sahu, Fulsay Paikra, Aarti Kushwaha, Aparna Sahu, Heeramani Lodhi, Omprakash Sundrani and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Yogita RajputMultidisciplinary Research Units (MRU), Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, 492001, India.
Arvind NeralDepartment of Microbiology, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Nikita SherwaniDepartment of Microbiology, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Vijaylakshmi JainDepartment of Microbiology, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Malti SahuMultidisciplinary Research Units (MRU), Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, 492001, India.
Fulsay PaikraMultidisciplinary Research Units (MRU), Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, 492001, India.
Aarti KushwahaMultidisciplinary Research Units (MRU), Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, 492001, India.
Aparna SahuDepartment of Microbiology, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Heeramani LodhiDepartment of Anaesthesia and Pain Management, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G, India.
Omprakash SundraniDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Ravindra Kumar PandaDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Vinit JainSuperintendent (past), Dr. BRAM Hospital Raipur CG and Department of Orthopaedics, Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, C.G., India.
Masood A ShammasDepartment of Adult Oncology, Harvard (Dana Farber) Cancer Institute and VA Health Care System, Boston, MA, USA.
Jagannath PalMultidisciplinary Research Units (MRU), Pt. J.N.M. Medical College, Raipur, Chhattisgarh, 492001, India. jagannathpall@gmail.com.

Funding

Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) CTU/PM-ABHIM/17/10/33/2023-ECD-II
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Unpredictable fatal outcome of COVID-19 is attributed to dysregulated inflammation. Impaired early adaptive immune response leads to late-stage inflammatory outcome. The purpose of this study was to develop biomarkers for early detection of host immune impairment at first diagnosis from leftover RNA samples, which may in turn identify high risk patients. Leftover RNA samples of COVID-19 patients at first diagnosis were stored. Following prospective follow-up, the samples were shorted and categorized into outcome groups. Impaired adaptive T cell response (severity score) and Impaired IL-10 response (undetectable IL-10 in the presence of high expression of a representative interferon response gene) were determined by RT-PCR based assay. We demonstrate that a T cell response based 'severity score' comprising rational combination of Ct values of a target genes' signature can predict high risk noncomorbid potentially critical COVID-19 patients with a sensitivity of 91% (95% CI 58.7-99.8) and specificity of 92.6% (95% CI 75.7-99) (AUC:0.88). Although inclusion of comorbid patients reduced sensitivity to 77% (95% CI 54.6-92.2), the specificity was still 94% (95% CI 79.8-99.3) (AUC:0.82). The same for 'impaired IL-10 response' were little lower to predict high risk noncomorbid patients 64.2% (95% CI 35.1-87.2) and 82% (95% CI 65.5-93.2) respectively. Inclusion of comorbid patients drastically reduce sensitivity and specificity51.6% (95% CI 33.1-69.8) and 80.5% (95% CI 64.0-91.8) respectively. As best of our knowledge this is the first demonstration of a metric-based approach showing the 'severity score' as an indicator of early adoptive immune response, could be used as predictor of severe COVID-19 outcome at the time of first diagnosis using the same leftover swab RNA. The work flow could reduce expenditure and reporting time of the prognostic test for an earliest clinical decision ensuring possibility of early rational management.

Indexed as

COVID-19Interleukin-10SARS-CoV-2Adaptive ImmunityAdultAgedBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNasopharynxOropharynxPrognosisProspective StudiesRNA, ViralBiomarkersIL10 protein, humanInterleukin-10RNA, ViralBiomarkerCOVID-19High riskIL-10 responseLeftover RNAOro-nasopharyngeal swabPrognosticSeverity scoreT cell response

Identifiers

PMID39174586
PMCPMC11341902

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.