Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39168836›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2025

Ovarian cancer risk prediction: a clinical epidemiology perspective.

Nicolas Wentzensen, Kari Ring, Britt K Erickson, Brett Reid, Thomas O'Donnell, David Check, Shelley S Tworoger, Parichoy Pal Choudhury

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Improving ovarian cancer risk assessment using a machine learning model developed on data from the Prostate Lung Colorectal Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial.International journal of gynecological cancer : official journal of the International Gynecological Cancer Society · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Nicolas WentzensenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, US National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1251-0836
Kari RingDivision of Gynecologic Oncology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States.
Britt K EricksonUniversity of Minnesota, Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Women's Health, Minneapolis, MN, United States.
Brett ReidDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, FL, United States.
Thomas O'DonnellDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, US National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, United States.
David CheckDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, US National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, United States.
Shelley S TworogerDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, FL, United States.
Parichoy Pal ChoudhuryAmerican Cancer Society, Department of Population Science, Atlanta, GA, United States.

Funding

CERVICAL CANCER AND HUMAN PAPILLOMAVIRUS (HPV) INFECTIONZ01CP010124 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SCHIFFMAN, MARK · 1996 to 2008
$3.0M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 CP010124
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ovarian cancer is a rare and highly heterogeneous disease usually detected at late stages when outcomes are poor. Population-based screening approaches have not been successful at reducing ovarian cancer mortality, but preventive bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy is highly effective at preventing ovarian cancer in high-risk populations. Ovarian cancer risk prediction models may allow identification of populations at increased risk of ovarian cancer for preventive interventions or targeted early detection. We propose a life-course approach to ovarian cancer risk prediction based on the time at which a risk model should be applied and the risk factors that are available. The discriminative ability of ovarian cancer risk prediction models published so far is limited, with areas under the curve ranging from 0.58 to 0.65 for different combinations of risk factors and genetic susceptibility markers. Currently proposed absolute risk thresholds for preventive surgery are around 4% lifetime risk. The absolute risk predicted by ovarian cancer risk models ranges from 0.6% to 2.5% lifetime risk in the general population, highlighting the need to improve ovarian cancer risk prediction models and evaluating new preventive approaches that can be offered to individuals at lower risk.

Indexed as

Ovarian NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsclinical epidemiologyovarian cancerpreventionrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID39168836
PMCPMC13070521

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.