ArticleScience advances2024
The West Antarctic Ice Sheet may not be vulnerable to marine ice cliff instability during the 21st century.
Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Sea-level contribution from Thwaites Glacier doubles in an observation-constrained ice-sheet model.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Review
- Differences in carbon sequestration capacity, rhizosphere microorganisms and metabolic functions among different herbaceous plants.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming.Nature climate change · 2026Article
- Hard rocks and deep wetlands beneath Thwaites Glacier in Antarctica.Communications earth & environment · 2026Article
- From short-term uncertainties to long-term certainties in the future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Bedrock uplift reduces Antarctic sea-level contribution over next centuries.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Antarctic meltwater alters future projections of climate and sea level.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Change in iceberg calving behavior preceded North Sea ice shelf disintegration during the last deglaciation.Nature communications · 2025Article
- An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation.Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures · 2025Review
- Warming of +1.5 °C is too high for polar ice sheets.Communications earth & environment · 2025Review
- Antarctica's ice cliff conundrum.Science advances · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The collapse of ice shelves could expose tall ice cliffs at ice sheet margins. The marine ice cliff instability (MICI) is a hypothesis that predicts that, if these cliffs are tall enough, ice may fail structurally leading to self-sustained retreat. To date, projections that include MICI have been performed with a single model based on a simple parameterization. Here, we implement a physically motivated parameterization in three ice sheet models and simulate the response of the Amundsen Sea Embayment after a hypothetical collapse of floating ice. All models show that Thwaites Glacier would not retreat further in the 21st century. In another set of simulations, we force the grounding line to retreat into Thwaites' deeper basin to expose a taller cliff. In these simulations, rapid thinning and velocity increase reduce the calving rate, stabilizing the cliff. These experiments show that Thwaites may be less vulnerable to MICI than previously thought, and model projections that include this process should be re-evaluated.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.