ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2024
Heart Failure Risk Prediction in a Population With a High Burden of Diabetes: Evidence From the Strong Heart Study.
Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Transforming Advanced Heart Failure Programs: Addressing Institutional and Systemic Drivers of Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Care.Circulation. Heart failure · 2026Review
- Echocardiographic study of myocardial work in elderly type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with microalbuminuria.BMC geriatrics · 2025Article
- Article
- Associations Between Urinary Metal Levels and Incident Heart Failure: A Multi-Cohort Analysis.JACC. Heart failure · 2025Article
- Associations of urinary zinc with incident peripheral artery disease and amputation in the Strong Heart Study.Discover endocrinology and metabolism · 2025Article
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12 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundDespite the high burden of diabetes and cardiovascular risk factors in American Indian communities in the United States, prospective studies of heart failure (HF) in this population group are scarce, and the generalizability of previous HF risk scales may be limited. We developed a parsimonious HF risk prediction equation that accounts for relevant risk factors affecting American Indian communities, focusing on diabetes and kidney damage. METHODS AND
resultsA total of 3059 participants from the SHS (Strong Heart Study) (56±8 years of age, 58% women) were included. Five hundred seven developed HF. Progressively adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify risk factors for HF and HF subtypes. Predictors of risk at 5 and 10 years included older age (hazard ratio [HR], 1.79 [95% CI, 1.43-2.25]; HR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.44-1.95]), smoking (HR, 2.26 [95% CI, 1.23-4.13]; HR, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.41-3.06]), macroalbuminuria (HR, 8.38 [95% CI, 4.44-15.83]; HR, 5.20 [95% CI, 3.42-7.9]), microalbuminuria (HR, 2.72 [95% CI, 1.51-4.90]; HR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.33, 2.78]), and previous myocardial infarction (HR, 6.58 [95% CI, 2.54-17.03]; HR, 3.87 [95% CI, 2.29-6.54]), respectively. These predictors, together with diabetes diagnosis and glycated hemoglobin were significant at 10 and 28 years. High discrimination performance was achieved (C index, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.76-0.84]; C index, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.75-0.81]; and C index, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.74-0.78] at 5, 10, and up to 28 years of follow up, respectively). Some associations varied across HF subtypes, although diabetes, albuminuria, and previous myocardial infarction were associated with all subtypes.
conclusionsThis prospective study of HF risk factors in American Indian communities identifies that smoking, body mass index, and indicators of diabetes control and kidney damage (glycated hemoglobin and albuminuria) are major determinants of HF. Our findings can improve HF risk assessment in populations with a high burden of diabetes.
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