Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39164518›Full record

Trial reportNature medicine2024

Androgen receptor pathway inhibitors and taxanes in metastatic prostate cancer: an outcome-adaptive randomized platform trial.

Bram De Laere, Alessio Crippa, Andrea Discacciati, Berit Larsson, Maria Persson, Susanne Johansson, Sanne D'hondt, Rebecka Bergström, Venkatesh Chellappa, Markus Mayrhofer and 33 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialAdaptive Clinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Nature medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT03903835 (ProBio), which is not on this map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03903835 phase3recruitingnot on this map

ProBio: An Outcome-adaptive and Randomized Multi-arm Biomarker Driven Study in Patients With Metastatic Prostate Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorKarolinska InstitutetRan2019 to 2026Enrolled750ConditionsMetastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer (mCRPC), Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer (mHSPC)ArmsEnzalutamide Oral Capsule, Abiraterone Oral Tablet, Carboplatin, Cabazitaxel 60 mg Solution for Injection, Docetaxel Injectable Solution
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Current Evidence on Cabazitaxel for Prostate Cancer Therapy: A Narrative Review.International journal of urology : official journal of the Japanese Urological Association · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Computational analysis of treatment resistant cancer cells.Frontiers in cell and developmental biology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

43 authors.

Bram De Laere *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1174-0384
Alessio Crippa *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2254-2420
Andrea DiscacciatiDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Berit LarssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Maria PerssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Susanne JohanssonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Sanne D'hondtHealth, Innovation and Research Institute (Clinical Trial Unit), University Hospital Ghent, Ghent, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7604-3117
Rebecka BergströmDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7609-0733
Venkatesh ChellappaDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Markus MayrhoferNational Bioinformatics Infrastructure Sweden, Science for Life Laboratory, Department of Cell and Molecular Biology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Mahsan BanijamaliDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Anastasijia KotsalaynenDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Céline SchelstraeteDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Ghent, Ghent, Belgium.
Jan Pieter VanwelkenhuyzenDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6180-1889
Marie Hjälm-ErikssonDepartment of Oncology, Capio Saint Göran's Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Linn PetterssonDepartment of Oncology, Länssjukhuset Ryhov, Jönköping, Sweden.
Anders UllénDepartment of Oncology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Nicolaas LumenDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Ghent, Ghent, Belgium.
Gunilla EnbladDepartment of Oncology, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0594-724X
Camilla Thellenberg KarlssonDepartment of Oncology, University Hospital of Umeå, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7061-7255
Elin JänesDepartment of Oncology, Sundsvalls sjukhus, Sundsvall, Sweden.
Johan SandzénDepartment of Oncology, Centralsjukhuset Karlstad, Karlstad, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-8044-3817
Peter SchattemanDepartment of Urology, Onze Lieve Vrouwziekenhuis, Aalst, Belgium.
Maria Nyre VigmostadDepartment of Oncology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-8574-686X
Martha OlssonDepartment of Oncology, Centrallasarettet Växjö, Växjö, Sweden.
Christophe GhyselDepartment of Urology, AZ Sint Jan Brugge AV, Bruges, Belgium.
Brieuc SautoisDepartment of Oncology, CHU de Liège - site Sart Tilman, Liège, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0029-7735
Wendy De RoockDepartment of Oncology, Ziekenhuis Oost- Limburg, Genk, Belgium.
Siska Van BruwaeneDepartment of Urology, AZ Groeninge, Kortrijk, Belgium.
Mats AndenDepartment of Oncology, Länssjukhuset i Kalmar, Kalmar, Sweden.
Ingrida VerbieneDepartment of Oncology, Falu lasarett, Falu, Sweden.
Daan De MaeseneerDepartment of Oncology, AZ Sint-Lucas, Bruges, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0339-5621
Els EveraertDepartment of Oncology, Vitaz campus Sint-Niklaas Lodewijk, Sint-Niklaas, Belgium.
Jochen DarrasDepartment of Urology, AZ Damiaan, Oostende, Belgium.
Bjørg Y AksnessetherDepartment of Oncology, Ålesund Hospital, Ålesund, Norway.
Daisy LuytenDepartment of Oncology, Virga Jessa, Hasselt, Belgium.
Michiel StrijbosDepartment of Oncology, GZA Sint-Augustinus, Antwerpen, Belgium.
Ashkan MortezaviDepartment of Urology, Universitätsspital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Jan OldenburgDepartment of Oncology, Akershus University Hospital, Nordbyhagen, Norway.
Piet OstDepartment of Human Structure and Repair, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
Martin Eklund *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5266
Henrik Grönberg *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. henrik.gronberg@ki.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1073-2753
Johan Lindberg *Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Science for Life Laboratory, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

Cancerfonden (Swedish Cancer Society) 21 1610 PKrebsliga Beider Basel (Cancer League of Basel-City and Basel-Country) KLbB-5580-02-2022Vetenskapsrådet (Swedish Research Council) 2021-00331Vlaamse Liga Tegen Kanker (Flemish Cancer League) STI.VLK.2020.0006.01Vlaamse Liga Tegen Kanker (Flemish Cancer League) STI.VLK.2022.0005.01
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

ProBio is the first outcome-adaptive platform trial in prostate cancer utilizing a Bayesian framework to evaluate efficacy within predefined biomarker signatures across systemic treatments. Prospective circulating tumor DNA and germline DNA analysis was performed in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer before randomization to androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs), taxanes or a physician's choice control arm. The primary endpoint was the time to no longer clinically benefitting (NLCB). Secondary endpoints included overall survival and (serious) adverse events. Upon reaching the time to NLCB, patients could be re-randomized. The primary endpoint was met after 218 randomizations. ARPIs demonstrated ~50% longer time to NLCB compared to taxanes (median, 11.1 versus 6.9 months) and the physician's choice arm (median, 11.1 versus 7.4 months) in the biomarker-unselected or 'all' patient population. ARPIs demonstrated longer overall survival (median, 38.7 versus 21.7 and 21.8 months for taxanes and physician's choice, respectively). Biomarker signature findings suggest that the largest increase in time to NLCB was observed in AR (single-nucleotide variant/genomic structural rearrangement)-negative and TP53 wild-type patients and TMPRSS2-ERG fusion-positive patients, whereas no difference between ARPIs and taxanes was observed in TP53-altered patients. In summary, ARPIs outperform taxanes and physician's choice treatment in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer with detectable circulating tumor DNA. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT03903835 .

Indexed as

Androgen Receptor AntagonistsNeoplasm MetastasisTaxoidsAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAHumansMaleMiddle AgedProstatic NeoplasmsProstatic Neoplasms, Castration-ResistantReceptors, AndrogenTreatment OutcomeAndrogen Receptor AntagonistsBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAReceptors, AndrogenTaxoids

Identifiers

PMID39164518
PMCPMC11564108

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.