ArticleNature communications2024
Timing the first emergence and disappearance of global water scarcity.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Balancing energy, water, and ecology through renewable energy transitions in the Yellow River Basin.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Materials and Systems for Solar-Driven Interfacial Evaporation: From Material Design to System Integration and Engineering Applications.Nanomaterials (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Hierarchically MOF-Based Porous Monolith Composites for Atmospheric Water Harvesting.Advanced materials (Deerfield Beach, Fla.) · 2026Review
- Multivariate Hydrogen-Bonded Organic Frameworks for Optimum Atmospheric Water Harvesting.ACS central science · 2025Article
- The first emergence of unprecedented global water scarcity in the Anthropocene.Nature communications · 2025Article
- China's nationwide streamflow decline driven by landscape changes and human interventions.Science advances · 2025Article
- Fabrication of Composite Membrane by Constructing Helical Carbon Nanotubes in Ceramic Support Channels for Efficient Emulsion Separation.Membranes · 2025Article
- Phosphate Tailings and Clay-Based Ceramic Membranes: Tailoring Microstructure and Filtration Properties via Alkali Activation.Membranes · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Alleviating water scarcity is at the core of Sustainable Development Goal 6. Yet the timing of water scarcity in its onset and possible relief in different regions of the world due to climate change and changing human population dynamics remains poorly investigated. Here we assess the timing of the first emergence of water scarcity (FirstWS) and disappearance of water scarcity (EndWS), by using ensembles of simulations with six Global Hydrological Models under two representative concentration pathways (i.e., RCP2.6, RCP6.0) combined with two shared socioeconomic pathways (i.e., SSP2, SSP3) for 1901-2090. Historically (1901-2020), FirstWS occurred predominantly in Asia (e.g., China and India) and Africa (e.g., East Africa); the peak time of emerging water scarcity began around the 1980s. Under all the four future RCPs-SSPs scenarios (2021-2090), FirstWS will likely occur mainly in some regions of Africa, for which the newly added area is double that in Asia. On the other hand, EndWS will mostly occur in China after 2050, primarily due to the projected declining population. We, therefore, call for specific attention and effort to adapt to the looming water scarcity in Africa.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.