Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39143136›Full record

ArticleNPJ systems biology and applications2024

Hybridizing mechanistic modeling and deep learning for personalized survival prediction after immune checkpoint inhibitor immunotherapy.

Joseph D Butner, Prashant Dogra, Caroline Chung, Eugene J Koay, James W Welsh, David S Hong, Vittorio Cristini, Zhihui Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ systems biology and applications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Joseph D Butner *Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA. jdbutner@mdanderson.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0608-2580
Prashant DograMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6722-7371
Caroline ChungDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Eugene J KoayDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
James W WelshDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
David S HongDepartment of Investigational Cancer Therapeutics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Vittorio CristiniMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA.
Zhihui Wang *Mathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA. zwang@houstonmethodist.org.

Funding

Ultra-long Acting Transcutaneously Refillable Islatravir Nanofluidic Implant for HIV Pre-ExposureR01AI165372 · NIAID · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GRATTONI, ALESSANDRO · 2022 to 2025
$4.5M
Vascularized NICHE with local immunosuppression for cell replacement for Type 1 diabetesR01DK133610 · NIDDK · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI Alessandro Grattoni, NORMA S. KENYON · 2022 to 2026
$4.3M
Long-acting multi prevention implant for 2-year contraception and HIV PrEPR01AI167659 · NIAID · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI Alessandro Grattoni, Patrick S. Stayton · 2023 to 2026
$3.3M
A Targeted Nanomedicine Prototype Against Enzalutamide-resistant Prostate CancerR01CA226537 · NCI · RBHS -CANCER INSTITUTE OF NEW JERSEY · PI ARAP, WADIH, BRINKER, C JEFFREY · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
Vascularized Islet transplantation NICHE with local immunosuppression for the treatment of type 1 diabetesR01DK132104 · NIDDK · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GRATTONI, ALESSANDRO, NICHOLS, JOAN ELIZABETH · 2022 to 2025
$2.8M
miR-155 targeted therapeutics for precision medicine in lung cancerR01CA222007 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI CALIN, GEORGE A., CRISTINI, VITTORIO · 2018 to 2022
$2.6M
Nanoparticle delivery of miRNA-based therapeutics to overcome clinical challenges in triple negative breast cancerR01CA253865 · NCI · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI OZPOLAT, BULENT, WANG, ZHIHUI · 2021 to 2025
$2.0M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222007NCI NIH HHS R01 CA226537NCI NIH HHS R01 CA253865NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI165372NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI167659NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK132104NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK133610
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present a study where predictive mechanistic modeling is combined with deep learning methods to predict individual patient survival probabilities under immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) immunotherapy. This hybrid approach enables prediction based on both measures that are calculable from mechanistic models of key mechanisms underlying ICI therapy that may not be directly measurable in the clinic and easily measurable quantities or patient characteristics that are not always readily incorporated into predictive mechanistic models. A deep learning time-to-event predictive model trained on a hybrid mechanistic + clinical data set from 93 patients achieved higher per-patient predictive accuracy based on event-time concordance, Brier score, and negative binomial log-likelihood-based criteria than when trained on only mechanistic model-derived values or only clinical data. Feature importance analysis revealed that both clinical and model-derived parameters play prominent roles in increasing prediction accuracy, further supporting the advantage of our hybrid approach.

Indexed as

Deep LearningImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsImmunotherapyFemaleHumansMaleNeoplasmsPrecision MedicineSurvival AnalysisImmune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID39143136
PMCPMC11324794

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.