ArticleAsian/Pacific Island nursing journal2024
Demand Forecasting of Nurse Talents in China Based on the Gray GM (1,1) Model: Model Development Study.
Article in Asian/Pacific Island nursing journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- A BOPPPS-structured narrative medicine intervention to enhance empathy and reduce ageism among undergraduate nursing students.BMC medical education · 2026Article
- Utilizing and Optimizing Forecasting Models for Nursing Demand: A Narrative Review.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Knowledge and attitudes regarding AI-assisted documentation among clinical nurses in China: a cross-sectional study.BMC nursing · 2026Article
- Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in Ordos city based on the Game Theory-Topsis-Grey Prediction coupling model.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Actual Scope of Nursing Practice and the Influencing Factors: A Single-Center Cross-Sectional Study in China.Journal of nursing management · 2026Article
- Nursing Interns' Disgust Sensitivity, Ageism and Gerontological Nursing Career Motivation: A Network Analysis.Journal of nursing management · 2026Article
- Development, implementation, and evaluation of a train-the-trainer program for emerging nurse leaders in China: a 12-year longitudinal study.BMC medical education · 2025Article
- Optimizing education resource allocation using grey model forecasting of school age populations.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Integrating comprehensive geriatric assessment into routine nursing care for older adults with type 2 diabetes: implementation fidelity and clinical outcomes.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Assessing Visitor Expectations of AI Nursing Robots in Hospital Settings: Cross-Sectional Study Using the Kano Model.JMIR nursing · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
backgroundIn a global context, the shortage of nursing personnel has emerged as a significant challenge, particularly in countries such as China experiencing population aging. The inadequacy of nursing human resources has become one of the primary threats affecting the quality of health services available to Chinese residents. Therefore, forecasting the demand for nursing personnel has become an important issue.
objectiveThis study presents a Gray GM (1,1) forecasting model for predicting the future 10-year demand for nursing workforce and the number of specialized geriatric nurses, aiming to provide a scientific basis for the development of policies in health care institutions in China.
methodsBased on data from the China Statistical Yearbook 2022, the Gray GM (1,1) model was used to predict the demand for nursing jobs and geriatric nurses over the next 10 years (2024-2033).
resultsThe results indicate that from 2024 to 2033, amidst a continuous growth in the overall population and an increasingly pronounced trend of population aging, the demand for nursing workforce in China, especially for specialized geriatric nurses, is projected to steadily increase.
conclusionsThe paper provides a reference basis for the establishment of China's health care workforce system and the involvement of government departments in health care workforce planning.
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