Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39141744›Full record

ArticleScience advances2024

Uncontrolled deforestation and population growth threaten a tropical island's water and land resources in only 10 years.

Anthony Foucher, Olivier Evrard, Laura Rabiet, Olivier Cerdan, Valentin Landemaine, Rémi Bizeul, Thomas Chalaux-Clergue, Jonathan Marescaux, Nicolas Debortoli, Valentin Ambroise and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Anthony FoucherLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE-IPSL), UMR 8212 (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4844-7886
Olivier EvrardLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE-IPSL), UMR 8212 (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3503-6543
Laura RabietLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE-IPSL), UMR 8212 (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0009-0004-7285-9735
Olivier CerdanBRGM, F-45060 Orléans, France.ORCID 0000-0003-1395-3102
Valentin LandemaineBRGM, F-45060 Orléans, France.ORCID 0000-0003-0114-6063
Rémi BizeulLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE-IPSL), UMR 8212 (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4103-9839
Thomas Chalaux-ClergueLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE-IPSL), UMR 8212 (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France.ORCID 0000-0003-3525-832X
Jonathan MarescauxE-BIOM, Rue Camille Hubert 11, Les Isnes, Belgium.
Nicolas DebortoliNamur Molecular Tech, CHU UCL, Namur, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-1145-9146
Valentin AmbroiseE-BIOM, Rue Camille Hubert 11, Les Isnes, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-4578-5641
Jean-François DespratsBRGM, F-34000 Montpellier, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rapid demographic growth in tropical islands can exacerbate conflicts and pressures on natural resources, as illustrated by the French island of Mayotte where resources are limited. In only 10 years, uncontrolled migration and population growth (+80% of population between 2002 and 2021) have led to a pronounced 3600% increase in deforestation rates (2010-2014) and an intensification of agricultural practices, escalating conflicts over limited land, water, and biodiversity resources. Implementing an original multi-proxy approach to sediment cores, our study reveals a staggering 300% acceleration in erosion during the first wave of migration (2011-2015), followed by a further 190% increase (2019-2021) under sustained migratory and demographic pressures. Sedimentary DNA analysis provided insights into increased connectivity and community changes. By 2050, the population of this region will increase by 74 and 103%, in Comoros and Madagascar islands, respectively. Urgent conservation measures are needed to avoid major socio-environmental crises and to protect resources for future generations.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesIslandsPopulation GrowthAgricultureBiodiversityComorosEcosystemHumansMadagascarTropical Climate

Identifiers

PMID39141744
PMCPMC11323937

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.