Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39134730›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2024

Heat-related mortality in Europe during 2023 and the role of adaptation in protecting health.

Elisa Gallo, Marcos Quijal-Zamorano, Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates, Cathryn Tonne, Xavier Basagaña, Hicham Achebak, Joan Ballester

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07491133 (Effect of Ambient Temperature on Insulin Absorption and Change in Blood Glucose Levels in Individuals With Type 1 Diabetes), which is not on this map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07491133 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Effect of Ambient Temperature on Insulin Absorption and Change in Blood Glucose Levels in Individuals With Type 1 Diabetes

TypeinterventionalSponsorInstitut de Recherches Cliniques de MontrealRan2026 to 2027Enrolled30ConditionsType 1 Diabetes MellitusArmsEnvironmental Temperature Exposure
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed.

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  4. Review
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  15. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Elisa GalloISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain. elisa.gallo@isglobal.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0827-4474
Marcos Quijal-ZamoranoISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4603-5877
Raúl Fernando Méndez TurrubiatesISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8994-8874
Cathryn TonneISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Xavier BasagañaISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8457-1489
Hicham AchebakISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Joan BallesterISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0009-437X

Funding

EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council) 865564
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The year of 2023 was the warmest on record globally and the second warmest in Europe. Here we applied epidemiological models to temperature and mortality records in 823 contiguous regions from 35 countries to estimate sex- and age-specific heat-related mortality in Europe during 2023 and to quantify the mortality burden avoided by societal adaptation to rising temperatures since the year 2000. We estimated 47,690 (95% confidence interval 28,853 to 66,525) heat-related deaths in 2023, the second highest mortality burden during the study period 2015-2023, only surpassed by 2022. We also estimated that the heat-related mortality burden would have been +80.0% higher in absence of present-century adaptation, especially in the elderly (+100.7% in people aged 80+ years). Our results highlight the importance of historical and ongoing adaptations in saving lives during recent summers and the urgency for more effective strategies to further reduce the mortality burden of forthcoming hotter summers.

Indexed as

Hot TemperatureAdaptation, PhysiologicalAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolEuropeFemaleHeat Stress DisordersHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.