ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024
Predicting undetected native vascular plant diversity at a global scale.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Changes in Potential Suitable Habitats, Species Turnover, and Conservation Gaps of Wild Plants in the Tarim Basin, China.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Climate and regional plant richness drive diet specialization in butterfly caterpillars.Nature communications · 2026Article
- The Global Deep Sea Exploration Goals: A representative approach to visually observing the deep seafloor.Science advances · 2026Article
- Machine learning-based paleobathymetric reconstructions using archaeal lipid biomarkers.Science advances · 2026Article
- General laws of biodiversity: Climatic niches predict plant range size and ecological dominance globally.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Article
- Desiccation-Tolerant Vascular Plants: A Group of Species Largely Neglected in Conservation.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Predicting undetected native vascular plant diversity at a global scale.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
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Abstract
Vascular plants are diverse and a major component of terrestrial ecosystems, yet their geographic distributions remain incomplete. Here, I present a global database of vascular plant distributions by integrating species distribution models calibrated to species' dispersal ability and natural habitats to predict native range maps for 201,681 vascular plant species into unsurveyed areas. Using these maps, I uncover unique patterns of native vascular plant diversity, endemism, and phylogenetic diversity revealing hotspots in underdocumented biodiversity-rich regions. These hotspots, based on detailed species-level maps, show a pronounced latitudinal gradient, strongly supporting the theory of increasing diversity toward the equator. I trained random forest models to extrapolate diversity patterns under unbiased global sampling and identify overlaps with modeled estimations but unveiled cryptic hotspots that were not captured by modeled estimations. Only 29% to 36% of extrapolated plant hotspots are inside protected areas, leaving more than 60% outside and vulnerable. However, the unprotected hotspots harbor species with unique attributes that make them good candidates for conservation prioritization.
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