Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39127991›Full record

ArticleSpine deformity2025

Developing a risk score to inform the use of rhBMP-2 in adult spinal deformity surgery.

Tyler K Williamson, Oluwatobi O Onafowokan, Andrew J Schoenfeld, Djani Robertson, Stephane Owusu-Sarpong, Jordan Lebovic, Anthony Yung, Max R Fisher, Ethan J Cottrill, Bassel G Diebo and 5 more

Abstract read
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Article in Spine deformity, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Tyler K WilliamsonDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 2301 Erwin Road, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
Oluwatobi O OnafowokanDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 2301 Erwin Road, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
Andrew J SchoenfeldDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital/Harvard Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Djani RobertsonDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, NYU Langone Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Stephane Owusu-SarpongDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, NYU Langone Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Jordan LebovicDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, NYU Langone Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Anthony YungDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 2301 Erwin Road, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
Max R FisherDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 2301 Erwin Road, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
Ethan J CottrillDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 2301 Erwin Road, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
Bassel G DieboDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Warren Alpert School of Medicine, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Renaud LafageDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lenox Hill Hospital, Northwell Health, New York, NY, USA.
Virginie LafageDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lenox Hill Hospital, Northwell Health, New York, NY, USA.
Clifford L CrutcherDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.
Alan H DanielsDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Warren Alpert School of Medicine, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Peter G PassiasDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, 2301 Erwin Road, Durham, NC, 27710, USA. pgpassias@yahoo.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1479-4070

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecombinant human bone morphogenetic protein-2 (rhBMP-2) has not shown superior benefit overall in cost-effectiveness during adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery. STUDY DESIGN/

settingRetrospective PURPOSE: Generate a risk score for pseudarthrosis to inform the utilization of rhBMP-2, balancing costs against quality of life and complications.

methodsASD patients with 3-year data were included. Quality of life gained was calculated from ODI to SF-6D and translated to quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost was calculated using the PearlDiver database and CMS definitions for complications and comorbidities. Established weights were generated for predictive variables via logistic regression to yield a predictive risk score for pseudarthrosis that accounted for frailty, diabetes, depression, ASA grade, thoracolumbar kyphosis and three-column osteotomy use. Risk score categories, established via conditional inference tree (CIT)-derived thresholds were tested for cost-utility of rhBMP-2 usage, controlling for age, prior fusion, and baseline deformity and disability.

results64% of ASD patients received rhBMP-2 (308/481). There were 17 (3.5%) patients that developed pseudarthrosis. rhBMP-2 use overall did not lower pseudarthrosis rates (OR: 0.5, [0.2-1.3]). Pseudarthrosis rates for each risk category were: No Risk (NoR) 0%; Low-Risk (LowR) 1.6%; Moderate Risk (ModR) 9.3%; High-Risk (HighR) 24.3%. Patients receiving rhBMP-2 had similar QALYs overall to those that did not (0.163 vs. 0.171, p = .65). rhBMP-2 usage had worse cost-utility in the LowR cohort (p < .001). In ModR patients, rhBMP-2 usage had equivocal cost-utility ($53,398 vs. $61,581, p = .232). In the HighR cohort, the cost-utility was reduced via rhBMP-2 usage ($98,328 vs. $211,091, p < .001).

conclusionOur study shows rhBMP-2 demonstrates effective cost-utility for individuals at high risk for developing pseudarthrosis. The generated score can aid spine surgeons in the assessment of risk and enhance justification for the strategic use of rhBMP-2 in the appropriate clinical contexts. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Indexed as

Bone Morphogenetic Protein 2PseudarthrosisSpinal CurvaturesSpinal FusionTransforming Growth Factor betaAdultAgedCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsQuality-Adjusted Life YearsQuality of LifeRecombinant ProteinsBone Morphogenetic Protein 2recombinant human bone morphogenetic protein-2Recombinant ProteinsTransforming Growth Factor betaAdult spinal deformityBone morphogenetic proteinComplicationsCost-utilityPseudarthrosisrhBMP-2

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.