Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39127784›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Demand for low-quality offsets by major companies undermines climate integrity of the voluntary carbon market.

Gregory Trencher, Sascha Nick, Jordan Carlson, Matthew Johnson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Gregory TrencherGraduate School of Global Environmental Studies, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan. trencher.gregory.2s@kyoto-u.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8130-9146
Sascha NickLaboratory of Environmental and Urban Economics (LEURE), Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2122-1676
Jordan CarlsonGraduate School of Global Environmental Studies, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-6391-7569
Matthew JohnsonCenter for Earth System Research and Sustainability, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.

Funding

MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) 19H04333
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most companies include carbon offsets in their net-zero strategy. However, many offset projects are poor quality and fail to reduce emissions as claimed. Here we focus on the twenty companies retiring the most offsets from the voluntary carbon market over 2020-2023. We examine if their offsets could be considered high quality and likely to benefit the climate. We curate an original company-level dataset to examine quality and climate benefits across four dimensions: (1) use of offsets from low/high-risk project types; (2) age of projects and credits; (3) price of credits; and (4) country of implementation. We find that companies have predominantly sourced low-quality, cheap offsets: 87% carry a high risk of not providing real and additional emissions reductions, with most offsets originating from forest conservation and renewable energy projects. Further, most offsets do not meet industry standards regarding age and country of implementation. These findings provide further evidence that the voluntary carbon market is not supporting effective climate mitigation. Particularly, we show that its persisting quality issues are exacerbated by the demand for low-quality offsets by individual companies.

Identifiers

PMID39127784
PMCPMC11316763

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.