Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39107310›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Rethinking time-lagged emissions and abatement potential of fluorocarbons in the post-Kigali Amendment era.

Heping Liu, Huabo Duan, Ning Zhang, Yin Ma, Gang Liu, Travis Reed Miller, Ruichang Mao, Ming Xu, Jinhui Li, Jiakuan Yang

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Heping LiuGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Petrochemical Pollution Process and Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology, Maoming, Guangdong, China.
Huabo DuanSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hubei Key Laboratory of Multi-media Pollution Cooperative Control in Yangtze Basin, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. huabo@hust.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3907-1688
Ning ZhangLeibniz Institute of Ecological Urban and Regional Development (IOER), Dresden, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1563-1417
Yin MaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Petrochemical Pollution Process and Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology, Maoming, Guangdong, China.
Gang LiuCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Travis Reed MillerDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Maine, Orono, ME, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6516-5717
Ruichang MaoDTU Sustain, Department of Environmental & Resource Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark.
Ming XuSchool of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Jinhui LiSchool of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7819-478X
Jiakuan YangSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hubei Key Laboratory of Multi-media Pollution Cooperative Control in Yangtze Basin, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. jkyang@hust.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1553-5679

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 52070131
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Montreal Protocol has been successful in safeguarding the ozone layer and curbing climate change. However, accurately estimating and reducing the time-lagged emissions of ozone-depleting substances or their substitutes, such as produced but not-yet-emitted fluorocarbon banks, remains a significant challenge. Here, we use a dynamic material flow analysis model to characterize the global stocks and flows of two fluorocarbon categories, hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), from 1986 to 2060. We assess emission pathways, time-lagged emission sizes, and potential abatement measures throughout different life cycle stages while focusing on the role of banked fluorocarbons in global and regional decarbonization efforts in the post-Kigali Amendment era. Although fluorocarbon releases are expected to decline, the cumulative global warming potential (GWP)-weighted emissions of HCFCs and HFCs are significant; these will be 6.4 (±1.2) and 14.8 (±2.5) gigatons CO

Identifiers

PMID39107310
PMCPMC11303384

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.