Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39106282›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2024

rtestim: Time-varying reproduction number estimation with trend filtering.

Jiaping Liu, Zhenglun Cai, Paul Gustafson, Daniel J McDonald

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jiaping LiuDepartment of Statistics, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0009-0002-8584-5645
Zhenglun CaiCentre for Health Evaluation and Outcome Sciences, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Paul GustafsonDepartment of Statistics, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Daniel J McDonaldDepartment of Statistics, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

Funding

CDC HHS 75D30123C15907CDC HHS U011P001121National Sciences and Engineering Research Council ALLRP 581756-23National Sciences and Engineering Research Council RGPIN 2019-03957National Sciences and Engineering Research Council RGPIN 2021-02618
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To understand the transmissibility and spread of infectious diseases, epidemiologists turn to estimates of the instantaneous reproduction number. While many estimation approaches exist, their utility may be limited. Challenges of surveillance data collection, model assumptions that are unverifiable with data alone, and computationally inefficient frameworks are critical limitations for many existing approaches. We propose a discrete spline-based approach that solves a convex optimization problem-Poisson trend filtering-using the proximal Newton method. It produces a locally adaptive estimator for instantaneous reproduction number estimation with heterogeneous smoothness. Our methodology remains accurate even under some process misspecifications and is computationally efficient, even for large-scale data. The implementation is easily accessible in a lightweight R package rtestim.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBasic Reproduction NumberCommunicable DiseasesComputational BiologyComputer SimulationEpidemiological ModelsHumansModels, StatisticalPoisson DistributionSoftware

Identifiers

PMID39106282
PMCPMC11329163

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.