ArticleNature communications2024
Rare and highly destructive wildfires drive human migration in the U.S.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- High-fidelity CNN-based surrogate modeling for wildfire spread forecasting.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Urban areas in the United States experience substantial wildfire impacts.Communications earth & environment · 2026Article
- Compound and heterogeneous relationships between climate extremes and global net migration.Nature climate change · 2026Article
- Inferring fine-grained migration patterns across the United States.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Coexposure to extreme heat, wildfire burn zones, and wildfire smoke in the Western US from 2006 to 2020.Science advances · 2025Article
- Does demography have a role in measuring homelessness? Insights and approaches in the United States.Vienna yearbook of population research · 2025Article
- Exodus of the affluent? examining climate hazards, migration, and household income in the U.S.Population and environment · 2025Article
- Learning From Natural Experiments to Accelerate Demographic Research on Climate-Related Threats to Human Populations.Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate changeArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The scale of wildfire impacts to the built environment is growing and will likely continue under rising average global temperatures. We investigate whether and at what destruction threshold wildfires have influenced human mobility patterns by examining the migration effects of the most destructive wildfires in the contiguous U.S. between 1999 and 2020. We find that only the most extreme wildfires (258+ structures destroyed) influenced migration patterns. In contrast, the majority of wildfires examined were less destructive and did not cause significant changes to out- or in-migration. These findings suggest that, for the past two decades, the influence of wildfire on population mobility was rare and operated primarily through destruction of the built environment.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.