Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39101625›Full record

Trial reportEuropean heart journal2024

Atherosclerosis quantification and cardiovascular risk: the ISCHEMIA trial.

Nick S Nurmohamed, James K Min, Rebecca Anthopolos, Harmony R Reynolds, James P Earls, Tami Crabtree, G B John Mancini, Jonathon Leipsic, Matthew J Budoff, Cameron J Hague and 15 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in European heart journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07353762 (Coronary Imaging and Metabolic Indicators-Based Risk Prediction Model for Coronary Artery Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 42 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07353762 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Coronary Imaging and Metabolic Indicators-Based Risk Prediction Model for Coronary Artery Disease:A Retrospective and Prospective Cohort Study

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorBeijing Anzhen HospitalRan2026 to 2035Enrolled10,960ConditionsCoronary Artery Disease (CAD) (E.G., Angina, Myocardial Infarction, and Atherosclerotic Heart Disease (ASHD))
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. First scan, then treat: 10 years of the SCOT-HEART study.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Nick S NurmohamedDepartment of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1117, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-9045-6009
James K MinCleerly, Inc, Denver, CO, USA.
Rebecca AnthopolosNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7251-7792
Harmony R ReynoldsNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
James P EarlsCleerly, Inc, Denver, CO, USA.
Tami CrabtreeCleerly, Inc, Denver, CO, USA.
G B John ManciniCentre for Cardiovascular Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Jonathon LeipsicCentre for Cardiovascular Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Matthew J BudoffLundquist Institute, Torrance, CA, USA.
Cameron J HagueCentre for Cardiovascular Innovation, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Sean M O'BrienDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC, USA.
Gregg W StoneIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3416-8210
Jeffrey S BergerNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Robert DonninoNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Mandeep S SidhuAlbany Medical College, Albany, NY, USA.
Jonathan D NewmanNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
William E BodenVA New England Healthcare System, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Bernard R ChaitmanSt Louis University School of Medicine Center for Comprehensive Cardiovascular Care, St Louis, MO, USA.
Peter H StoneBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Sripal BangaloreNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
John A SpertusUniversity of Missouri-Kansas City's Healthcare Institute for Innovations in Quality and Saint Luke's Mid America Heart Institute, Kansas City, MO, USA.
Daniel B MarkDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC, USA.
Leslee J ShawBronfman Department of Medicine (Cardiology), Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Judith S HochmanNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
David J MaronDepartment of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.

Funding

The ISCHEMIA Trial - EQOLU01HL105565 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI MARK, DANIEL B · 2011 to 2017
$2.4M
European Atherosclerosis SocietyNHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL105565
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsThe aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA)-derived atherosclerotic plaque analysis in ISCHEMIA.

methodsAtherosclerosis imaging quantitative computed tomography (AI-QCT) was performed on all available baseline CCTAs to quantify plaque volume, composition, and distribution. Multivariable Cox regression was used to examine the association between baseline risk factors (age, sex, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, ejection fraction, prior coronary disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and statin use), number of diseased vessels, atherosclerotic plaque characteristics determined by AI-QCT, and a composite primary outcome of cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction over a median follow-up of 3.3 (interquartile range 2.2-4.4) years. The predictive value of plaque quantification over risk factors was compared in an area under the curve (AUC) analysis.

resultsAnalysable CCTA data were available from 3711 participants (mean age 64 years, 21% female, 79% multivessel coronary artery disease). Amongst the AI-QCT variables, total plaque volume was most strongly associated with the primary outcome (adjusted hazard ratio 1.56, 95% confidence interval 1.25-1.97 per interquartile range increase [559 mm3]; P = .001). The addition of AI-QCT plaque quantification and characterization to baseline risk factors improved the model's predictive value for the primary outcome at 6 months (AUC 0.688 vs. 0.637; P = .006), at 2 years (AUC 0.660 vs. 0.617; P = .003), and at 4 years of follow-up (AUC 0.654 vs. 0.608; P = .002). The findings were similar for the other reported outcomes.

conclusionsIn ISCHEMIA, total plaque volume was associated with cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction. In this highly diseased, high-risk population, enhanced assessment of atherosclerotic burden using AI-QCT-derived measures of plaque volume and composition modestly improved event prediction.

Indexed as

Computed Tomography AngiographyCoronary AngiographyCoronary Artery DiseasePlaque, AtheroscleroticAgedFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionMyocardial IschemiaPrognosisRisk FactorsArtificial intelligenceAtherosclerosisCCTACoronary artery diseaseIschaemiaPlaque

Identifiers

PMID39101625
PMCPMC11439108

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.