Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39098907›Full record

ArticleBMC women's health2024

Development and validation of an artificial intelligence model for predicting de novo distant bone metastasis in breast cancer: a dual-center study.

Wen-Hai Zhang, Yang Tan, Zhen Huang, Qi-Xing Tan, Yue-Mei Zhang, Chang-Yuan Wei

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC women's health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. External validation of a nomogram for de novo bone metastasis in breast cancer: a single-center Mexican cohort.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Wen-Hai Zhang *Department of Breast Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, 71 Hedi Road, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Yang Tan *Department of Pathology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Zhen HuangDepartment of Breast Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, 71 Hedi Road, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Qi-Xing TanDepartment of Breast Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, 71 Hedi Road, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Yue-Mei ZhangDepartment of Breast Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, 71 Hedi Road, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China.
Chang-Yuan WeiDepartment of Breast Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, 71 Hedi Road, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 530021, China. changyuanwei@gxmu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveBreast cancer has become the most prevalent malignant tumor in women, and the occurrence of distant metastasis signifies a poor prognosis. Utilizing predictive models to forecast distant metastasis in breast cancer presents a novel approach. This study aims to utilize readily available clinical data and advanced machine learning algorithms to establish an accurate clinical prediction model. The overall objective is to provide effective decision support for clinicians.

methodsData from 239 patients from two centers were analyzed, focusing on clinical blood biomarkers (tumor markers, liver and kidney function, lipid profile, cardiovascular markers). Spearman correlation and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were employed for feature dimension reduction. A predictive model was built using LightGBM and validated in training, testing, and external validation cohorts. Feature importance correlation analysis was conducted on the clinical model and the comprehensive model, followed by univariate and multivariate regression analysis of these features.

resultsThrough internal and external validation, we constructed a LightGBM model to predict de novo bone metastasis in newly diagnosed breast cancer patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of this model in the training, internal validation test, and external validation test1 cohorts were 0.945, 0.892, and 0.908, respectively. Our validation results indicate that the model exhibits high sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy, making it the most accurate model for predicting bone metastasis in breast cancer patients. Carcinoembryonic Antigen, creatine kinase, albumin-globulin ratio, Apolipoprotein B, and Cancer Antigen 153 (CA153) play crucial roles in the model's predictions. Lipoprotein a, CA153, gamma-glutamyl transferase, α-Hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase, alkaline phosphatase, and creatine kinase are positively correlated with breast cancer bone metastasis, while white blood cell ratio and total cholesterol are negatively correlated.

conclusionThis study successfully utilized clinical blood biomarkers to construct an artificial intelligence model for predicting distant metastasis in breast cancer, demonstrating high accuracy. This suggests potential clinical utility in predicting and identifying distant metastasis in breast cancer. These findings underscore the potential prospect of developing economically efficient and readily accessible predictive tools in clinical oncology.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceBiomarkers, TumorBone NeoplasmsBreast NeoplasmsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMachine LearningMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsROC CurveBiomarkers, TumorAIBone metastasisBreast cancerDual-centerLightGBM

Identifiers

PMID39098907
PMCPMC11299401

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.