Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39097571›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

The radiative feedback continuum from Snowball Earth to an ice-free hothouse.

Ian Eisenman, Kyle C Armour

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Paleoclimate pattern effects help constrain climate sensitivity and 21st-century warming.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Ian EisenmanScripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, USA. eisenman@ucsd.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0190-2869
Kyle C ArmourDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences and School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6833-5179

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) OCE-2048590NSF | GEO | Division of Atmospheric and Geospace Sciences (AGS) AGS-1752796NSF | GEO | Division of Ocean Sciences (OCE) OCE-2002276United States Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) NA20OAR4310391
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Paleoclimate records have been used to estimate the modern equilibrium climate sensitivity. However, this requires understanding how the feedbacks governing the climate response vary with the climate itself. Here we warm and cool a state-of-the-art climate model to simulate a continuum of climates ranging from a nearly ice-covered Snowball Earth to a nearly ice-free hothouse. We find that the pre-industrial (PI) climate is near a stability optimum: warming leads to a less-stable (more-sensitive) climate, as does cooling of more than 2K. Physically interpreting the results, we find that the decrease in stability for climates colder than the PI occurs mainly due to the albedo and lapse-rate feedbacks, and the decrease in stability for warmer climates occurs mainly due to the cloud feedback. These results imply that paleoclimate records provide a stronger constraint than has been calculated in previous studies, suggesting a reduction in the uncertainty range of the climate sensitivity.

Identifiers

PMID39097571
PMCPMC11297920

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.