Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39096922›Full record

Trial reportThe Lancet. Child & adolescent health2024

Otitis media sequelae and hearing in adolescence after administration of an 11-valent conjugate pneumococcal vaccine in infancy: a prospective cohort study with long-term follow-up of the ARIVAC trial.

Eric A F Simões, Phyllis Carosone-Link, Diozele M Sanvictores, Kristin M Uhler, Marilla Lucero, Veronica Tallo, Kenny H Chan

Abstract readRandomized Controlled TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Lancet. Child & adolescent health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Eric A F SimõesDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA. Electronic address: eric.simoes@ucdenver.edu.
Phyllis Carosone-LinkDepartment of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Diozele M SanvictoresDepartment of Clinical Trials, Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila, Philippines.
Kristin M UhlerDepartment of Pediatric Otorhinolaryngology, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Audiology, Speech-Pathology, and Learning, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Marilla LuceroDepartment of Clinical Trials, Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila, Philippines.
Veronica TalloDepartment of Clinical Trials, Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Manila, Philippines.
Kenny H ChanDepartment of Pediatric Otorhinolaryngology, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, CO, USA; Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have been shown in randomised controlled trials and epidemiological studies to prevent acute otitis media caused by vaccine serotype pneumococci, although their role in preventing complications of acute otitis media is less clear. We hypothesised that the 11-valent PCV would reduce the long-term sequelae of acute otitis media, including moderate-to-severe ear disease and hearing loss.

methodsThis prospective cohort study, referred to as 11PCV study, included follow-up after 16-20 years of children previously enrolled in 2000-04, at age 6 weeks to 6 months, in the randomised, placebo-controlled, ARIVAC trial of 11-valent PCV for the prevention of radiographical pneumonia. The ARIVAC trial and this 11PCV study were conducted at six study centres in Bohol, Philippines. Ear disease was classified using video-otoscopy review and observations derived from the ear exam. The final classification of the worst ear disease was mild (ie, acute otitis media, otitis media with effusion, healed perforation, or tympanosclerosis), moderate (ie, dry perforation or adhesive otitis media), or severe (chronic suppurative otitis media). Hearing loss was assessed following a standard schema and classified according to the worst ear as mild (>15 to 30 dB puretone average) or moderate-to-profound (>30 dB pure tone average). We calculated the relative and absolute risk reduction in the primary outcome of moderate-to-severe ear disease and the secondary outcomes of mild or moderate-to-profound hearing loss in adolescents who previously received the 11-valent PCV compared with those who received placebo during infancy in ARIVAC.

findingsOf the 15 593 children assessed for eligibility in ARIVAC, 12 194 were randomly assigned and 8926 were alive and could be located for enrolment in this 11PCV study between Sept 19, 2016, and Dec 13, 2019. 8321 (4188 in the vaccine group and 4133 in the placebo group) completed follow-up of the 11PCV study by March 30, 2020, and had sufficient data to classify ear disease and be included in the primary outcome analysis. The primary outcome of the absolute risk reduction in moderate-to-severe ear disease in the vaccine group (310 [7·4%] of 4188) versus those in the placebo group (356 [8·6%] of 4133) was 1·2% (95% CI 0·0-2·4; p=0·046) and the relative risk reduction was 14·1% (0·0 to 26·0). There were no differences in secondary outcomes of mild hearing loss or moderate-to-profound hearing loss between the vaccine and placebo groups.

interpretationThe absolute risk reduction for moderate-to-severe ear disease in adolescence of 1·2% (12 per 1000 children) was almost three times higher than the 0·45% reduction (4·5 per 1000 children) in radiographical pneumonia in the first 2 years of life shown in ARIVAC. Administration of 11-valent PCV in infancy was associated with absolute and relative risk reductions in the sequelae of acute otitis media 16-20 years after the original ARIVAC trial.

fundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

Hearing LossOtitis MediaPneumococcal VaccinesAdolescentFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInfantMalePneumococcal InfectionsProspective StudiesVaccines, ConjugateYoung AdultPneumococcal VaccinesVaccines, Conjugate

Identifiers

PMID39096922
PMCPMC11319240

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.