Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39094629›Full record

ArticleRadiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology2024

Machine learning predicts conventional imaging metastasis-free survival (MFS) for oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) using prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET radiomics.

Yufeng Cao, Philip Sutera, William Silva Mendes, Bardia Yousefi, Tom Hrinivich, Matthew Deek, Ryan Phillips, Danny Song, Ana Kiess, Ozan Cem Guler and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
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  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Yufeng CaoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Philip SuteraDepartment of Radiation Oncology and Molecular Radiation Sciences, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
William Silva MendesDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Bardia YousefiFischell Department of Bioengineering, University of Maryland School of Medicine, College Park, MD, USA.
Tom HrinivichDepartment of Radiation Oncology and Molecular Radiation Sciences, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Matthew DeekDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Rutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
Ryan PhillipsDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Danny SongDepartment of Radiation Oncology and Molecular Radiation Sciences, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Ana KiessDepartment of Radiation Oncology and Molecular Radiation Sciences, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Ozan Cem GulerBaskent University Faculty of Medicine, Adana Dr Turgut Noyan Research and Treatment Center, Department of Radiation Oncology, Adana, Turkey.
Nese TorunBaskent University Faculty of Medicine, Adana Dr Turgut Noyan Research and Treatment Center, Department of Nuclear Medicine, Ankara, Turkey.
Mehmet ReyhanBaskent University Faculty of Medicine, Adana Dr Turgut Noyan Research and Treatment Center, Department of Nuclear Medicine, Ankara, Turkey.
Amit SawantDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Luigi MarchionniDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Nicole L SimoneDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Phuoc TranDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. Electronic address: Phuoc.tran@umm.edu.
Cem OnalBaskent University Faculty of Medicine, Adana Dr Turgut Noyan Research and Treatment Center, Department of Radiation Oncology, Adana, Turkey; Baskent University Faculty of Medicine, Department of Radiation Oncology, Ankara, Turkey. Electronic address: hcemonal@hotmail.com.
Lei RenDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. Electronic address: LRen@som.umaryland.edu.

Funding

Resource Sharing CoreU54CA273956 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Luigi Marchionni · 2022 to 2026
$8.9M
Tumor-barcoding coupled with high-throughput sequencing of a novel chemoradiation resistant SCLC mouse modelU01CA231776 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI HANN, CHRISTINE L., MARCHIONNI, LUIGI · 2018 to 2022
$3.9M
Integrating bioinformatics into multiscale models for hepatocellular carcinomaU01CA212007 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI EWALD, ANDREW JOSEF, FERTIG, ELANA · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
eXtended Modular ANthropomorphic (XMAN) phantom for Imaging and Treatment Optimization in Radiotherapy.R01EB032680 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI REN, LEI, YANG, XIAOFENG · 2022 to 2025
$2.4M
Tumor-barcoding coupled with high-throughput sequencing for quantitative radiogenomics of the abscopal response in NSCLCR01CA271540 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Phuoc T. Tran · 2023 to 2026
$2.3M
Hybrid virtual-MRI/CBCT: A new paradigm for image guidance in liver SBRTR01EB028324 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI REN, LEI, YIN, FANG-FANG · 2019 to 2022
$2.1M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA271540NCI NIH HHS U01 CA212007NCI NIH HHS U01 CA231776NCI NIH HHS U54 CA273956NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB028324NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB032680
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study investigated imaging biomarkers derived from PSMA-PET acquired pre- and post-metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) to predict 2-year metastasis-free survival (MFS), which provides valuable early response assessment to improve patient outcomes. MATERIALS/

methodsAn international cohort of 117 oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) patients, comprising 34 from John Hopkins Hospital (JHH) and 83 from Baskent University (BU), were treated with stereotactic ablative radiation therapy (SABR) MDT with both pre- and post-MDT PSMA-PET/CT scans acquired. PET radiomic features were analyzed from a CT-PET fusion defined gross tumor volume ((GTV) or zone 1), and a 5 mm expansion ring area outside the GTV (zone 2). A total of 1748 PET radiomic features were extracted from these zones. The six most significant features selected using the Chi2 method, along with five clinical parameters (age, Gleason score, number of total lesions, untreated lesions, and pre-MDT prostate-specific antigen (PSA)) were extracted as inputs to the models. Various machine learning models, including Random Forest, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, and Naïve Bayesian, were employed for 2-year MFS prediction and tested using leave-one-out and cross-institution validation.

resultsSix radiomic features, including Total Energy, Entropy, and Standard Deviation from pre-PSMA-PET zone 1, Total Energy and Contrast from post-PSMA-PET zone 1, and Entropy from pre-PSMA-PET zone 2, along with five clinical parameters were selected for predicting 2-year MFS. In a leave-one-out test with all the patients, random forest achieved an accuracy of 80 % and an AUC of 0.82 in predicting 2-year MFS. In cross-institution validation, the model correctly predicted 2-year MFS events with an accuracy of 75 % and an AUC of 0.77 for patients from JHH, and an accuracy of 78 % and an AUC of 0.80 for BU patients, respectively.

conclusionOur study demonstrated the promise of using pre- and post-MDT PSMA-PET-based imaging biomarkers for MFS prediction for omCSPC patients.

Indexed as

Machine LearningPositron Emission Tomography Computed TomographyAgedAged, 80 and overAntigens, SurfaceGlutamate Carboxypeptidase IIHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisProstatic NeoplasmsRadiomicsRadiosurgeryAntigens, SurfaceFOLH1 protein, humanGlutamate Carboxypeptidase IIProstatePSMA-PETRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID39094629
PMCPMC11405100

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.