Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39086811›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2024

Drivers and epidemiological patterns of West Nile virus in Serbia.

Giovanni Marini, Mitra B Drakulovic, Verica Jovanovic, Francesca Dagostin, Willy Wint, Valentina Tagliapietra, Milena Vasic, Annapaola Rizzoli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. First Detection of West Nile Virus Lineage 2 inPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Giovanni MariniResearch and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige, Italy.
Mitra B DrakulovicDepartment for Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, National Public Health Institute "Dr Milan Jovanovic-Batut", Belgrade, Serbia.
Verica JovanovicDepartment for Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, National Public Health Institute "Dr Milan Jovanovic-Batut", Belgrade, Serbia.
Francesca DagostinResearch and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige, Italy.
Willy WintEnvironmental Research Group Oxford Ltd., c/o Dept Biology, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Valentina TagliapietraResearch and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige, Italy.
Milena VasicDepartment for Communicable Diseases Prevention and Control, National Public Health Institute "Dr Milan Jovanovic-Batut", Belgrade, Serbia.
Annapaola RizzoliResearch and Innovation Centre, Fondazione Edmund Mach, San Michele all'Adige, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: West Nile virus (WNV) is an emerging mosquito-borne pathogen in Serbia, where it has been detected as a cause of infection in humans since 2012. We analyzed and modelled WNV transmission patterns in the country between 2012 and 2023. Methods: We applied a previously developed modelling approach to quantify epidemiological parameters of interest and to identify the most important environmental drivers of the force of infection (FOI) by means of statistical analysis in the human population in the country. Results: During the study period, 1,387 human cases were recorded, with substantial heterogeneity across years. We found that spring temperature is of paramount importance for WNV transmission, as FOI magnitude and peak timing are positively associated with it. Furthermore, FOI is also estimated to be greater in regions with a larger fraction of older adult people, who are at higher risk to develop severe infections. Conclusion: Our results highlight that temperature plays a key role in shaping WNV outbreak magnitude in Serbia, confirming the association between spring climatic conditions and WNV human transmission risk and thus pointing out the importance of this factor as a potential early warning predictor for timely application of preventive and control measures.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksSeasonsWest Nile FeverWest Nile virusAdolescentAdultAgedAnimalsChildFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSerbiaTemperatureYoung AdultCulexmathematical modelmosquitovector-borneWest Nile virus

Identifiers

PMID39086811
PMCPMC11288825

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.