Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39085747›Full record

SynthesisCanadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique2024

Sensitivity and specificity of International Classification of Diseases algorithms (ICD-9 and ICD-10) used to identify opioid-related overdose cases: A systematic review and an example of estimation using Bayesian latent class models in the absence of gold standards.

Fiston Ikwa Ndol Mbutiwi, Ayekoe Patrick Junior Yapo, Serge Esako Toirambe, Erin Rees, Rebecca Plouffe, Hélène Carabin

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Fiston Ikwa Ndol MbutiwiFaculté de médecine vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, Saint-Hyacinthe, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-2279-7746
Ayekoe Patrick Junior YapoDépartement de médecine sociale et préventive, École de santé publique, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Serge Esako ToirambeDépartement de médecine sociale et préventive, École de santé publique, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada.
Erin ReesFaculté de médecine vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, Saint-Hyacinthe, Québec, Canada.
Rebecca PlouffeCentre for Surveillance and Applied Research, Health Promotion and Chronic Disease Prevention Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Hélène CarabinFaculté de médecine vétérinaire, Université de Montréal, Saint-Hyacinthe, Québec, Canada. helene.carabin@umontreal.ca.ORCID 0000-0002-2822-4730

Funding

Canada Research Chair in Epidemiology and One Health grant number: CRC 950-231857Public Health Agency of Canada MOA #4500447443
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to summarize validity estimates of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes in identifying opioid overdose (OOD) among patient data from emergency rooms, emergency medical services, inpatient, outpatient, administrative, medical claims, and mortality, and estimate the sensitivity and specificity of the algorithms in the absence of a perfect reference standard.

methodsWe systematically reviewed studies published before December 8, 2023, and identified with Medline and Embase. Studies reporting sufficient details to recreate a 2 × 2 table comparing the ICD algorithms to a reference standard in diagnosing OOD-related events were included. We used Bayesian latent class models (BLCM) to estimate the posterior sensitivity and specificity distributions of five ICD-10 algorithms and of the imperfect coroner's report review (CRR) in detecting prescription opioid-related deaths (POD) using one included study.

resultsOf a total of 1990 studies reviewed, three were included. The reported sensitivity estimates of ICD algorithms for OOD were low (range from 25.0% to 56.8%) for ICD-9 in diagnosing non-fatal OOD-related events and moderate (72% to 89%) for ICD-10 in diagnosing POD. The last included study used ICD-9 for non-fatal and fatal and ICD-10 for fatal OOD-related events and showed high sensitivity (i.e. above 97%). The specificity estimates of ICD algorithms were good to excellent in the three included studies. The misclassification-adjusted ICD-10 algorithm sensitivity estimates for POD from BLCM were consistently higher than reported sensitivity estimates that assumed CRR was perfect.

conclusionEvidence on the performance of ICD algorithms in detecting OOD events is scarce, and the absence of bias correction for imperfect tests leads to an underestimation of the sensitivity of ICD code estimates.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBayes TheoremInternational Classification of DiseasesOpiate OverdoseSensitivity and SpecificityHumansLatent Class AnalysisBayesian analysisInternational Classification of DiseasesOpioid overdoseSensitivitySpecificitySystematic review

Identifiers

PMID39085747
PMCPMC11535208

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.