Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39082063›Full record

Observational studyTherapeutic advances in respiratory disease

iPREDICT: proof-of-concept study to develop a predictive model of changes in asthma control.

Mario Castro, Merrill Zavod, Annika Rutgersson, Magnus Jörntén-Karlsson, Bhaskar Dutta, Lynn Hagger

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Therapeutic advances in respiratory disease. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mario CastroChief, Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Vice Chair for Clinical and Translational Research, University of Kansas School of Medicine, 4000 Cambridge Street, Mailstop 3007, Kansas City, KS 66160, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6328-8994
Merrill ZavodAstraZeneca, Wilmington, DE, USA.
Annika RutgerssonAstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Magnus Jörntén-KarlssonAstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Bhaskar DuttaAstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD, USA.
Lynn HaggerAstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe individualized PREdiction of DIsease Control using digital sensor Technology (iPREDICT) program was developed for asthma management using digital technology. Devices were integrated into daily lives of patients to establish a predictive model of asthma control by measuring changes from baseline health status with minimal device burden.

objectivesTo establish baseline disease characteristics of the study participants, detect changes from baseline associated with asthma events, and evaluate algorithms capable of identifying triggers and predicting asthma control changes from baseline data. Patient experience and compliance with the devices were also explored.

designThis was a multicenter, observational, 24-week, proof-of-concept study conducted in the United States.

methodsPatients (⩾12 years) with severe, uncontrolled asthma engaged with a spirometer, vital sign monitor, sleep monitor, connected inhaler devices, and two mobile applications with embedded patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires. Prospective data were linked to data from electronic health records and transmitted to a secure platform to develop predictive algorithms. The primary endpoint was an asthma event: symptom worsening logged by patients (PRO); peak expiratory flow (PEF) < 65% or forced expiratory volume in 1 s < 80%; increased short-acting β

resultsOverall, 108 patients were selected: 66 (61.1%) completed and 42 (38.9%) were excluded for failure to respond/missing data. Predictive accuracy depended on endpoint selection. Population-level models achieved low accuracy in predicting endpoints such as PEF < 65%. Subgroups related to specific allergies, asthma triggers, asthma types, and exacerbation treatments demonstrated high accuracy, with the most accurate, predictive endpoint being >4 SABA puffs/day/48 h. Individual models, constructed for patients with high endpoint overlap, exhibited significant predictive accuracy, especially for PEF < 65% and >4 SABA puffs/day/48 h.

conclusionThis multidimensional dataset enabled population-, subgroup-, and individual-level analyses, providing proof-of-concept evidence for development of predictive models of fluctuating asthma control.

Indexed as

AsthmaProof of Concept StudyAdministration, InhalationAdolescentAdultAgedAlgorithmsAnti-Asthmatic AgentsFemaleForced Expiratory VolumeHumansLungMaleMiddle AgedMobile ApplicationsNebulizers and VaporizersAnti-Asthmatic Agentsalgorithmasthma controldigital toolmobile applicationprecision medicineself-managementsevere asthma

Identifiers

PMID39082063
PMCPMC11292721

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.