Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39080748›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2024

Assessing receptivity to malaria using case surveillance and forest data in a near-elimination setting in northeast Thailand.

Rebecca Walshe, Kulchada Pongsoipetch, Suwanna Mukem, Tanong Kamsri, Navarat Singkham, Prayuth Sudathip, Suravadee Kitchakarn, Rapeephan Rattanawongnara Maude, Richard James Maude

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Rebecca WalsheMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Kulchada PongsoipetchMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Suwanna MukemMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Tanong KamsriPhibun Mangsahan Hospital, Phibun, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand.
Navarat SingkhamBuntharik Hospital, Buntharik, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand.
Prayuth SudathipDivision of Vector Borne Diseases, Department of Disease Control, Tiwanond Road, Nonthaburi, 11000, Thailand.
Suravadee KitchakarnDivision of Vector Borne Diseases, Department of Disease Control, Tiwanond Road, Nonthaburi, 11000, Thailand.
Rapeephan Rattanawongnara MaudeFaculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Richard James MaudeMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand. richard@tropmedres.ac.

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1193472_2018Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 220211
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThailand aimed to eliminate malaria by 2024, and as such is planning for future prevention of re-establishment in malaria free provinces. Understanding the receptivity of local areas to malaria allows the appropriate targeting of interventions. Current approaches to assessing receptivity involve collecting entomological data. Forest coverage is known to be associated with malaria risk, as an environment conducive to both vector breeding and high-risk human behaviours.

methodsGeolocated, anonymized, individual-level surveillance data from 2011 to 2021 from the Thai Division of Vector-Borne Disease (DVBD) was used to calculate incidence and estimated R

resultsThere was a non-linear decrease in annual cases by 96.6% (1061 to 36) across the two provinces from 2011 to 2021. Indigenous Annual Parasite Index (API) and approximated R

conclusionsThere was a positive association between forest coverage around a village and indigenous malaria cases. Most local transmission was observed in the heavily forested subdistricts on the international borders with Laos and Cambodia, which are where the most receptive villages are located. These areas are at greater risk of importation of malaria due to population mobility and forest-going activities. Combining forest cover and recent case surveillance data with measures of vulnerability may be useful for prediction of malaria recurrence risk.

Indexed as

ForestsMalariaAnimalsDisease EradicationEpidemiological MonitoringHumansIncidenceMosquito VectorsThailandForestIndigenousMalariaReceptivitySurveillanceTransmission

Identifiers

PMID39080748
PMCPMC11290226

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.