Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39079225›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2024

Law enforcement fentanyl seizures and overdose mortality in US counties, 2013-2020.

Emilie Bruzelius, Joseph J Palamar, Nicole D Fitzgerald, Linda B Cottler, Thomas C Carr, Silvia S Martins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Emilie BruzeliusDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States. Electronic address: eb2674@cumc.columbia.edu.
Joseph J PalamarDepartment of Population Health, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, United States.
Nicole D FitzgeraldDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health and Health Professions, College of Medicine University of Florida, Gainesville, FL,  United States.
Linda B CottlerDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health and Health Professions, College of Medicine University of Florida, Gainesville, FL,  United States.
Thomas C CarrCollege of Public Affairs, Center for Drug Policy and Prevention, University of Baltimore, United States; Office of National Drug Control Policy, Washington-Baltimore High Intensity Drug Trafficking Areas Program, Center for Drug Policy and Prevention, University of Baltimore, United States.
Silvia S MartinsDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States.

Funding

National Drug Early Warning System (NDEWS) COVID-19 SupplementU01DA051126 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI Linda B. Cottler, Joseph J Palamar · 2020 to 2026
$6.3M
Substance Abuse Epidemiology Training Program (SAETP) at Columbia UniversityT32DA031099 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI DEBORAH S HASIN, Silvia Saboia Martins · 2012 to 2026
$6.1M
UF Substance Abuse Training Center in Public HealthT32DA035167 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI Linda B. Cottler · 2014 to 2026
$4.8M
Examining the Synergistic Effects of Cannabis and Prescription Opioid Policies on Chronic Pain, Opioid Prescribing, and Opioid OverdoseR01DA045872 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI CERDA, MAGDALENA, MARTINS, SILVIA SABOIA · 2019 to 2023
$4.3M
State-level opioid policies and policies that regulate substance use duringpregnancy: a mixed methods exploration of their effects on maternal and infantoutcomesR01DA053745 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Silvia Saboia Martins, Morgan Mari Philbin · 2022 to 2026
$3.8M
New psychoactive substance exposure among NYC nightclub and festival attendeesR01DA057289 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI Joseph J Palamar · 2023 to 2026
$2.7M
Drug use among nightclub and dance festival attendees in New York CityR01DA044207 · NIDA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI PALAMAR, JOSEPH J · 2018 to 2021
$1.5M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA044207NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA045872NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA053745NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA057289NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA031099NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA035167NIDA NIH HHS U01 DA051126
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe spread of illicitly manufactured fentanyl is driving steep increases in US overdose deaths. Fentanyl seizures are correlated with state-level opioid-related mortality; however, more granular seizure surveillance information has the potential to better inform overdose prevention and harm reduction efforts.

methodsUsing data on fentanyl pill and powder seizures from High Intensity Drug Trafficking Areas (HIDTA), we tested associations between seizure prevalence and overdose mortality, from 2013 to 2020. The primary exposure-seizure burden-was constructed by identifying counties having high (above the median) prevalence of pill, powder, or combined pill/powder seizure burden per 100,000 population. Poisson models accounted for county demographic, law enforcement and time trends.

resultsDuring the timeframe, there were 13,842 fentanyl seizures in 606 US counties. In adjusted models, counties with a high burden of pill or powder fentanyl seizures, or both (combined pills/powder) exhibited higher total overdose mortality than non-high burden counties (pills adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR]: 1.10 [95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.08, 1.12]; powder aPR 1.12 [CI: 1.11, 1.13]; combined pills/powder aPR: 1.27 [CI: 1.25, 1.29]). A similar pattern of associations with fentanyl seizure burden was noted for overdose deaths involving synthetic opioids (pills [aPR]: 0.99 [CI: 0.96, 1.02]; powder aPR 1.29 [CI: 1.27, 1.30]; combined pills/powder aPR 1.55 [CI: 1.52, 1.58]).

conclusionsLaw enforcement data on fentanyl seizures predicts drug overdose mortality at the county-level. Integrating these data with more traditional epidemiologic surveillance approaches has the potential to inform community overdose response efforts.

Indexed as

Drug OverdoseFentanylLaw EnforcementAdultAnalgesics, OpioidDrug TraffickingFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceUnited StatesAnalgesics, OpioidFentanylEpidemiologyFentanylHarm reductionLaw EnforcementOpioidsOverdoseSurveillance

Identifiers

PMID39079225
PMCPMC11422803

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.