Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39076530›Full record

ArticleERJ open research2024

Modified blood cell GAP model as a prognostic biomarker in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Michael Kreuter, Joyce S Lee, Argyrios Tzouvelekis, Justin M Oldham, Philip L Molyneaux, Derek Weycker, Mark Atwood, Katerina Samara, Klaus-Uwe Kirchgässler, Toby M Maher

Abstract read
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Article in ERJ open research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Immunosenescence in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.Journal of inflammation research · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Michael KreuterCenter for Pulmonary Medicine, Departments of Pneumology, Mainz University Medical Center, and of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Marienhaus Clinic Mainz, Mainz, Germany.
Joyce S LeeDepartment of Medicine, University of Colorado, Denver, CO, USA.
Argyrios TzouvelekisDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, University of Patras, Patras, Greece.
Justin M OldhamDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Philip L MolyneauxInterstitial Lung Disease Unit, Royal Brompton and Harefield Hospitals, Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1301-8800
Derek WeyckerAvalere Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5405-2215
Mark AtwoodAvalere Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Katerina SamaraF. Hoffmann-La Roche, Ltd., Basel, Switzerland.
Klaus-Uwe KirchgässlerF. Hoffmann-La Roche, Ltd., Basel, Switzerland.
Toby M MaherNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The Gender, Age and Physiology (GAP) model is a simple mortality prediction tool in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis that uses demographic and physiological variables available at initial evaluation. White blood cell variables may have associations with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis outcomes. We evaluated whether incorporating blood cell counts in modified GAP (cGAP) models would improve outcome prediction in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Patients and methods: This retrospective analysis included pooled data from phase 3 randomised trials of pirfenidone in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (ASCEND, CAPACITY 004, CAPACITY 006). Study outcomes (disease progression, all-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalisation, respiratory-related hospitalisation) were evaluated during the initial 1-year period. Shared frailty models were used to evaluate associations between continuous and categorical baseline white and red blood cell parameters and study outcomes in a bivariate context, and to evaluate the impact of adding continuous monocyte count (cGAP1) or white and red blood cell parameters (cGAP2) to traditional GAP variables in a multivariable context based on C-statistics changes. Results: Data were pooled from 1247 patients (pirfenidone, n=623; placebo, n=624). Significant associations (bivariate analyses) were idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis progression with neutrophil and eosinophil counts; all-cause mortality with monocyte and neutrophil counts; all-cause hospitalisation with monocyte count, neutrophil count and haemoglobin level; and respiratory-related hospitalisation with monocyte count, neutrophil count and haemoglobin level. In multivariate analyses, C-statistics were highest for the cGAP2 model for each of the outcomes. Conclusion: Modified GAP models incorporating monocyte counts alone or plus other white and red blood cell variables may be useful to improve prediction of outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Identifiers

PMID39076530
PMCPMC11284599

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.