Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39074158›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2024

Could prophylactic antivirals reduce dengue incidence in a high-prevalence endemic area?

Yalda Jafari, Oliver J Brady, Joseph R Biggs, Le Thuy Lien, Huynh Kim Mai, Hien Anh Thi Nguyen, Marnix Van Loock, Guillermo Herrera-Taracena, Joris Menten, Chihiro Iwasaki and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Yalda JafariCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Oliver J BradyCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Joseph R BiggsDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Le Thuy LienPasteur Institute in Nha Trang, Nha Trang, Vietnam.
Huynh Kim MaiPasteur Institute in Nha Trang, Nha Trang, Vietnam.
Hien Anh Thi NguyenNational Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Marnix Van LoockJanssen Research & Development, Janssen Pharmaceutica NV, Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson, Beerse, Belgium.
Guillermo Herrera-TaracenaJanssen Research & Development, Janssen Pharmaceutica NV, Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson, Beerse, Belgium.
Joris MentenJanssen Research & Development, Janssen Pharmaceutica NV, Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson, Beerse, Belgium.
Chihiro IwasakiInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Mizuki TakegataInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Noriko KitamuraCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Hung Do ThaiPasteur Institute in Nha Trang, Nha Trang, Vietnam.
Bui Xuan MinhKhanh Hoa health Service Department, Nha Trang, Vietnam.
Kouichi MoritaInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Dang Duc AnhNational Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Vietnam.
Sam CliffordCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Kiesha PremCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Julius HafallaDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
W John EdmundsCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Lay Myint YoshidaInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Martin L HibberdDepartment of Infection Biology, Faculty of Infectious Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Stéphane HuéCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8580-6905

Funding

Janssen Science ITPMZG4810
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prophylactic drugs against dengue are currently under development. In this study, we explored how such prophylactic approaches might affect dengue cases in four communes of Nha Trang City, Vietnam. A community level dengue transmission survey indicated high levels of previous exposure to dengue (89.7%; 95% CI: 87.2,92.0). We fitted a spatially explicit model to an observed outbreak and simulated likely effectiveness of Case-Area Targeted Interventions (CATI) and One-Time Mass Distribution (OTMD) of drug and vector control strategies. Increasing radius and effectiveness and decreasing delay of CATI was most effective, with drugs being more effective in averting dengue cases than vector control. Using an OTMD approach early in the outbreak required the least number of treatments to avert a case, suggesting that OTMD strategies should be considered as pre-emptive rather than reactive strategies. These findings show that pre-emptive interventions can substantially reduce the burden of dengue outbreaks in endemic settings.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsDengueAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolDisease OutbreaksEndemic DiseasesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceVietnamYoung AdultAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID39074158
PMCPMC11309446

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.