Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39066467›Full record

ArticleWomen's health (London, England)

Maternal exposure to heat and its association with miscarriage in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: A population-based cohort study.

Yoshan Moodley, Kwabena Asare, Frank Tanser, Andrew Tomita

Abstract read
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Article in Women's health (London, England). The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Yoshan MoodleyAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-4119-1734
Kwabena AsareSchool of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-5074-2315
Frank TanserAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Andrew TomitaCentre for Rural Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.

Funding

Causal Pathways to population health impact of HIV antiretroviral treatmentR01HD084233 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL · PI BARNIGHAUSEN, TILL, TANSER, FRANK COURTENEY · 2015 to 2021
$2.3M
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD084233Wellcome Trust 201433/Z/16/A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe sought to improve the current understanding of how climate change impacts women's reproductive health in sub-Saharan Africa.

objectivesWe investigated the relationship between maternal heat exposure and miscarriage (pregnancy ending before 20 weeks gestation) in a South African setting.

designPopulation-based cohort study.

methodsOur study involved data for pregnancies collected via a health and demographic surveillance system in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa between 2012 and 2016. Data from the South African Weather Service were used to compute maternal exposure to heat during the following time windows for each pregnancy: during the month preceding conception (T1) and during the week preceding the study outcome (either a miscarriage or no miscarriage, T2). Heat exposure was operationalized as a continuous variable and defined as the number of days that a mother was exposed to a mean daily temperature of > 26.6°C (A "hot day," equivalent to a mean daily temperature of > 80°F) during T1 or T2. Binary logistic regression was used to investigate the relationship between maternal heat exposure and miscarriage.

resultsA total of 105/3477 pregnancies included in our analysis ended in miscarriage (3.0%). Each additional hot day during T1 was associated with a 26% higher odds of miscarriage (odds ratio: 1.26; 95% confidence interval: 1.15-1.38). No significant associations were observed between maternal heat exposure during T2 and the odds of miscarriage (odds ratio: 0.94, 95% confidence interval: 0.73-1.20). The relationship between maternal heat exposure during T1 and the odds of miscarriage was J-shaped.

conclusionThere is a clear relationship between maternal heat exposure during the month preceding conception and miscarriage in our sub-Saharan African setting. Given the lack of feasible strategies to reduce pregnancy loss associated with prevailing high temperatures in sub-Saharan Africa, progressive climate change will likely exacerbate existing challenges for women's reproductive health in this region.

Indexed as

Abortion, SpontaneousHot TemperatureRural PopulationAdultClimate ChangeCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaternal ExposurePregnancySouth AfricaYoung Adultclimate changehot temperaturemiscarriagesub-Saharan Africa

Identifiers

PMID39066467
PMCPMC11282531

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.