Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39060281›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Modelling Salmonella Typhi in high-density urban Blantyre neighbourhood, Malawi, using point pattern methods.

Jessie J Khaki, James E Meiring, Deus Thindwa, Marc Y R Henrion, Tikhala M Jere, Harrison Msuku, STRATAA Consortium, Robert S Heyderman, Melita A Gordon, Emanuele Giorgi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jessie J KhakiThe Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics (CHICAS), Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK. jessiekhaki@gmail.com.
James E MeiringDepartment of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Deus ThindwaDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale University, New Haven, USA.
Marc Y R HenrionMalawi Liverpool-Wellcome (MLW) Trust Programme, Blantyre, Malawi.
Tikhala M JereMalawi Liverpool-Wellcome (MLW) Trust Programme, Blantyre, Malawi.
Harrison MsukuMalawi Liverpool-Wellcome (MLW) Trust Programme, Blantyre, Malawi.
STRATAA Consortium
Robert S HeydermanDivision of Immunity and Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Melita A GordonMalawi Liverpool-Wellcome (MLW) Trust Programme, Blantyre, Malawi.
Emanuele GiorgiThe Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics (CHICAS), Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 617 OPP1141321Wellcome Trust 106158/Z/14/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Salmonella Typhi is a human-restricted pathogen that is transmitted by the faecal-oral route and causative organism of typhoid fever. Using health facility data from 2016 to 2020, this study focuses on modelling the spatial variation in typhoid risk in Ndirande township in Blantyre. To pursue this objective, we developed a marked inhomogeneous Poisson process model that allows us to incorporate both individual-level and environmental risk factors. The results from our analysis indicate that typhoid cases are spatially clustered, with the incidence decreasing by 54% for a unit increase in the water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) score. Typhoid intensity was also higher in children aged below 18 years than in adults. However, our results did not show evidence of a strong temporal variation in typhoid incidence. We also discuss the inferential benefits of using point pattern models to characterise the spatial variation in typhoid risk and outline possible extensions of the proposed modelling framework.

Indexed as

Salmonella typhiTyphoid FeverAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMalawiMaleRisk FactorsSanitationUrban PopulationYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39060281
PMCPMC11282181

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.