Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39054542›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

Tax increases as an incentive to quit smoking: is thinking about quitting due to a tobacco tax increase associated with post-tax increase smoking cessation?

Cloé Geboers, Math J J M Candel, Gera E Nagelhout, Bas van den Putte, Marc C Willemsen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Tobacco taxation policy in India: public health considerations.The Lancet regional health. Southeast Asia · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Cloé GeboersDepartment of Health Promotion (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, P. Debyeplein 1, 6221 HA, Maastricht, The Netherlands. c.geboers@maastrichtuniversity.nl.
Math J J M CandelDepartment of Methodology and Statistics (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Gera E NagelhoutDepartment of Health Promotion (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, P. Debyeplein 1, 6221 HA, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Bas van den PutteDepartment of Communication (ASCoR), University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marc C WillemsenDepartment of Health Promotion (CAPHRI), Maastricht University, P. Debyeplein 1, 6221 HA, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe cost of tobacco is one of the most reported reasons to quit smoking. The Netherlands increased tobacco taxes twice in the span of nine months: a €1 increase per pack in April 2020, and a €0.12 increase per pack in January 2021. This study examines to what extent people report to think about quitting due to the upcoming tax increase(s), as well as how it relates to their age, income or educational level. Additionally, we examined whether thinking about quitting was associated with quit intention and quit behaviour, and whether these associations were different for the two tax increases.

methodsLongitudinal data from the International Tobacco Control (ITC) Netherlands Surveys, Cohort 2 were used (N = 5919 observations; wave 1 (February - March 2020): n = 2051; wave 2 (September - November 2020): n = 1919; wave 3 (June - July 2021): n = 1949). Generalised Estimating Equation (GEE) regressions were fit to test the associations between thinking about quitting due to the tax increase and post-tax increases in quit intention, serious quit attempts, and quitting smoking (≤ 1 cigarette a month), as well as sociodemographic variables.

resultsCirca half of the people who smoke reported thinking about quitting smoking due to the upcoming tax increase (Wave 1 = 51.3% (n = 1052); Wave 2 = 47.3% (n = 849)). Individuals who reported thinking about quitting smoking due to upcoming tax increase(s) were more likely to have increased their quit intention (aOR: 2.00, p ≤ .001) or have carried out a serious quit attempt (aOR:1.48, p ≤ .001) post-tax increase. More people attempted to quit smoking between wave 2 and 3 (post 2021 increase) than between wave 1 and 2 (post 2020 increase). We did not find an interaction effect between wave and thinking about quitting for quit intention, quit attempts, and quitting smoking.

conclusionsTax increases stimulate people to think about quitting. Thinking about quitting due to an upcoming tax increase was associated with more positive quit intention and serious quit attempts.

Indexed as

MotivationSmoking CessationTaxesAdolescentAdultAgedFemaleHumansIntentionLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsTobacco ProductsYoung AdultLongitudinal researchPolicyPriceSmoking cessationTaxationTobacco

Identifiers

PMID39054542
PMCPMC11270949

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.