Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39048136›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2024

Estimating the economic effect of harm associated with high risk prescribing of oral non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs in England: population based cohort and economic modelling study.

Elizabeth M Camacho, Leonie S Penner, Amy Taylor, Bruce Guthrie, Anthony J Avery, Darren M Ashcroft, Daniel R Morales, Gabriel Rogers, Antony Chuter, Rachel A Elliott

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Impact of structured medication reviews on prescribing in English primary care: a retrospective observational cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026
    Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Elizabeth M CamachoManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Service Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Leonie S PennerManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Service Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Amy TaylorCentre for Academic Primary Care, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Bruce GuthrieAdvanced Care Research Centre, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Anthony J AveryNIHR Greater Manchester Patient Safety Research Collaboration, Manchester, UK.
Darren M AshcroftNIHR Greater Manchester Patient Safety Research Collaboration, Manchester, UK.
Daniel R MoralesClinical Research Fellow, Population Health and Genomics, University of Dundee, DD1 4HN, UK; Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Gabriel RogersManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Service Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Antony ChuterManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Service Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Rachel A ElliottManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Service Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK Rachel.a.elliott@manchester.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-3650-0168

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo quantify prevalence, harms, and NHS costs in England of problematic oral non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) prescribing in high risk groups.

designPopulation based cohort and economic modelling study.

settingEconomic models estimating patient harm associated with NSAID specific hazardous prescribing events, and cost to the English NHS, over a 10 year period, were combined with trends of hazardous prescribing event to estimate national levels of patient harm and NHS costs.

participantsEligible participants were prescribed oral NSAIDs and were in five high risk groups: older adults (≥65 years) with no gastroprotection; people who concurrently took oral anticoagulants; or those with heart failure, chronic kidney disease, or a history of peptic ulcer.

main outcome measuresPrevalence of hazardous prescribing events, by each event and overall, discounted quality adjusted life years (QALYs) lost, and cost to the NHS in England of managing harm.

resultsQALY losses and cost increases were observed for each hazardous prescribing event (

conclusionsNSAIDs continue to be a source of avoidable harm and healthcare cost in these five high risk populations, especially in inducing an acute event in people with chronic condition and people taking oral anticoagulants.

Indexed as

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalModels, EconomicQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAdministration, OralAgedAged, 80 and overAnticoagulantsCohort StudiesEnglandFemaleHeart FailureHumansInappropriate PrescribingMalePeptic UlcerRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAnticoagulantsAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal

Identifiers

PMID39048136
PMCPMC11268384

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.