Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39044633›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2024

Quantifying the basic reproduction number and underestimated fraction of Mpox cases worldwide at the onset of the outbreak.

Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Sarafa Adewale Iyaniwura, Qing Han, Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima, Jude Dzevela Kong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nicola Luigi BragazziDepartment of Food and Drugs, University of Parma , Parma, Italy.
Sarafa Adewale IyaniwuraTheoretical Biology and Biophysics Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory , Los Alamos, NM, USA.
Qing HanAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC) , Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Woldegebriel Assefa WoldegerimaAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC) , Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jude Dzevela KongAfrica-Canada Artificial Intelligence and Data Innovation Consortium (ACADIC) , Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7557-5672

Funding

CIHRInternational Development Research Centre (IDRC)Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaSocial Sciences and Humanities Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2022, there was a global resurgence of mpox, with different clinical-epidemiological features compared with previous outbreaks. Sexual contact was hypothesized as the primary transmission route, and the community of men having sex with men (MSM) was disproportionately affected. Because of the stigma associated with sexually transmitted infections, the real burden of mpox could be masked. We quantified the basic reproduction number (

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksBasic Reproduction NumberBayes TheoremFemaleHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleMpox, Monkeypoxbasic reproduction numbermathematical modellingmen having sex with menMpoxsexually transmitted infectionsunderestimation

Identifiers

PMID39044633
PMCPMC11267235

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.