Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39044512›Full record

ArticleThe journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease2024

Global Burden of Dementia Death from 1990 to 2019, with Projections to 2050: An Analysis of 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study.

Z Li, N Yang, L He, J Wang, Y Yang, F Ping, L Xu, H Zhang, W Li, Y Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. The success-failure inversion in modern medicine.Frontiers in public health · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Z LiHuabing Zhang, MD, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, China, ORCID identifiers: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6259-7584, Email: huabingzhangchn@163.com; Wei Li, MD, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, China, ORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3332-1287, Email: weili0021@aliyun.com; Yuxiu Li, MD, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, China, ORCID identifier: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7500-0855, Email: liyuxiu@medmail.com.cn.
N Yang
L He
J Wang
Y Yang
F Ping
L Xu
H Zhang
W Li
Y Li

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDementia is a growing global health challenge. Quantifying the current burden and predicting the future increases of dementia-related deaths are necessary to enhance effective policy decisions and health system planning.

methodsData on dementia mortality was derived from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 study. The 2020-2050 dementia-related deaths were forecasted using the Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

resultsGlobally, the number of dementia-related death increased from 0.56 million in 1990 to 1.62 million in 2019 and were estimated to increase to 4.91 million by the year 2050. Metabolic risk factors would become the most important modifiable risk factors affecting dementia death which account for 28.10% of dementia related death by the year 2050. For different Socio-demographic Index (SDI) regions, the low SDI region would have the highest age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) (29.16 per 100,000) by 2050. Moreover, the number of dementia-related deaths under the age of 70 years was predicted to reach 0.18 million by 2050.

conclusionsDementia related death remains a global health problem, and health policies targeting metabolic risk factors may be an important way to alleviate this problem.

Indexed as

DementiaGlobal Burden of DiseaseAgedAged, 80 and overBayes TheoremFemaleForecastingGlobal HealthHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsDementiaglobal burden of diseasemetabolic risk factorsmortality

Identifiers

PMID39044512
PMCPMC12275824

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.