Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39041867›Full record

SynthesisNEJM evidence2024

Clinical and Genomic Risk for Late Breast Cancer Recurrence and Survival.

Joseph A Sparano, Michael Crager, Robert J Gray, Gong Tang, Jess Hoag, Frederick L Baehner, Steven Shak, Della F Makower, Kathy S Albain, Daniel F Hayes and 12 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in NEJM evidence, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Impact of anthracyclines in genomic high-risk, node-negative, HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer.Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Development and Validation of Data-Driven Estimates of Recurrence Risk and Treatment Benefit in Early Breast Cancer.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Joseph A SparanoIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, Tisch Cancer Institute, New York.
Michael CragerExact Sciences Corporation, Redwood City, CA.
Robert J GrayDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston.
Gong TangUniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh.
Jess HoagExact Sciences Corporation, Redwood City, CA.
Frederick L BaehnerExact Sciences Corporation, Redwood City, CA.
Steven ShakExact Sciences Corporation, Redwood City, CA.
Della F MakowerMontefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.
Kathy S AlbainLoyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL.
Daniel F HayesUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Charles E GeyerUniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh.
Elizabeth C DeesUniversity of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Matthew P GoetzMayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL.
John A OlsonWashington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO.
Tracy LivelyNational Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD.
Sunil S BadveWinship Cancer Institute, Emory University, Atlanta.
Thomas J SaphnerAurora Medical Center, Two Rivers, WI.
Timothy J WhelanMcMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
Virginia G KaklamaniUniversity of Texas Health, San Antonio, TX.
Norman WolmarkUniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh.
George W SledgeStanford University, Stanford, CA.
Salomon M StemmerDavidoff Center, Rabin Medical Center, Petah Tikva, Israel.

Funding

NRG Oncology Network Group Operations Center - GY9 BIQSFP Reports/BudgetsU10CA180868 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI NORMAN WOLMARK · 2014 to 2026
$206.8M
Project-006U10CA180820 · NCI · ECOG-ACRIN MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI Peter J ODwyer · 2014 to 2026
$167.6M
Statistics CoreU10CA180822 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI James J. Dignam, GREG YOTHERS · 2014 to 2026
$146.4M
IROC: Enhancing local enrolling site radiological data capture capabilities for NCTN trialsU24CA180803 · NCI · AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY · PI Thomas J. FitzGerald, MICHAEL V KNOPP · 2014 to 2026
$116.2M
Statistics CoreU10CA180794 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI PAUL J CATALANO, CONSTANTINE A. GATSONIS · 2014 to 2026
$111.2M
ECOG-ACRIN Biospecimen Bank to Support NCTNU24CA196172 · NCI · ECOG-ACRIN MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI STANLEY R. HAMILTON, Scott D Jewell · 2015 to 2026
$41.1M
Montefiore Academic Community NCORP ProgramUG1CA189859 · NCI · MONTEFIORE MEDICAL CENTER (BRONX, NY) · PI Balazs Halmos, Della Makower · 2014 to 2026
$10.8M
NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180794NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180820NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180822NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180868NCI NIH HHS U24 CA180803NCI NIH HHS U24 CA196172NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA189859
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay (Oncotype DX) is used to guide adjuvant chemotherapy use for patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2 (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2)-negative, axillary node-negative breast cancer. Its role, however, in providing prognostic information for late distant recurrence when added to clinicopathologic prognostic factors is unknown.

methodsA patient-specific meta-analysis including 10,004 women enrolled in three trials was updated using extended follow-up data from TAILORx, integrating the RS with histologic grade, tumor size, and age at surgery for the RSClin tool. Cox models integrating clinicopathologic factors and the RS were compared by using likelihood ratio (LR) tests. External validation of prognosis for distant recurrence in years 0 to 10 and 5 to 10 was performed in an independent cohort of 1098 women in a real-world registry.

resultsRSClin provided significantly more prognostic information than either the clinicopathologic factors (ΔLR chi-square, 86.2; P<0.001) or RS alone (ΔLR chi-square, 131.0; P<0.001). The model was prognostic in an independent cohort for distant recurrence by 10 years after diagnosis (standardized hazard ratio, 1.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 1.94), was associated with late distant recurrence risk between 5 and 10 years after diagnosis (standardized hazard ratio, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.25 to 2.55), and approximated the observed 10-year distant recurrence risk (Lin concordance, 0.87) and 5- to 10-year distant recurrence risk (Lin concordance, 0.92).

conclusionsThe 21-gene RS is prognostic for distant recurrence and overall survival in early breast cancer. A model integrating the 21-gene RS and clinicopathologic factors improved estimates of distant recurrence risk compared with either used individually and stratified late distant recurrence risk. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health [U10CA180820, U10CA180794, UG1CA189859, U10CA180868, and U10CA180822] and others.).

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAdultAgedFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPrognosisRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39041867
PMCPMC11730053

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.