Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39040861›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2024

Age-period-cohort analysis of epidemiological trends in pelvic fracture in China from 1992 to 2021 and forecasts for 2046.

Qingsong Chen, Tao Li, Hong Ding, Guangbin Huang, Dingyuan Du, Jun Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. [Analysis of disease burden of fall-related fractures among elderly Chinese from 1990 to 2023].Zhongguo xiu fu chong jian wai ke za zhi = Zhongguo xiufu chongjian waike zazhi = Chinese journal of reparative and reconstructive surgery · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
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  5. Global temporal trends and projections of epilepsy in women of childbearing age: insights from the global burden of disease study 2021.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025
    Article
  6. [Trends in burden of pelvic fractures from 1990 to 2023 and long short-term memory-based insights into future projections].Zhongguo xiu fu chong jian wai ke za zhi = Zhongguo xiufu chongjian waike zazhi = Chinese journal of reparative and reconstructive surgery · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Ten-Year Trends in Pelvic Fractures Among China's Aging Population: A Retrospective Single-Center Study.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Qingsong Chen *School of Microelectronics and Communication Engineering of Chongqing University, Chongqing University Central Hospital (Chongqing Emergency Medical Center), Chongqing, China.
Tao Li *Department of Traumatology, National Regional Trauma Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital (Chongqing Emergency Medical Center), Chongqing, China.
Hong DingDepartment of Orthopedics, Chongqing University Central Hospital, Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing, China.
Guangbin HuangDepartment of Traumatology, National Regional Trauma Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital (Chongqing Emergency Medical Center), Chongqing, China.
Dingyuan DuDepartment of Traumatology, National Regional Trauma Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital (Chongqing Emergency Medical Center), Chongqing, China.
Jun YangDepartment of Traumatology, National Regional Trauma Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital (Chongqing Emergency Medical Center), Chongqing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: This study explored the epidemiological trends in pelvic fracture (PF) in China from 1992 to 2021, analyze their relationships with age-period-cohort (APC) factors, and predict the trends of PF from 2022 to 2046. Methods: Incidence and years lived with disabilities (YLDs) of PF among sexes in China from 1992 to 2021 were obtained through the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. Trends in the incidence and YLDs were described, and a joinpoint regression model was used. The APC model was used to explore the effects of age, period, and cohort on the incidence and YLDs. Nordpred forecasted the incidence and YLDs in China from 2022 to 2046. Results: In 2021, there were an estimated 0.63 million incidence cases and 0.33 million of YLDs, respectively. The number and age-standardized rate (ASR) of incidence and YLDs were both gradually increased. The average annual percent change (AAPC) in incidence and YLDs for men were 0.26% and -0.17%, respectively. For women, the AAPC values for incidence and YLDs were -0.03% and -0.57% ( Conclusion: The characteristics of pelvic fracture incidence and YLDs in China are complex. Thus, primary prevention measures must be strengthened. Raising awareness about osteoporosis prevention, enhancing public health education, and promoting good dietary and hygiene habits are appropriate preventive measures for PF in China.

Indexed as

ForecastingFractures, BonePelvic BonesAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolChinaCohort StudiesFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceage-period-cohort analysisincidencejoinpoint regressionNordpred modelpelvic fractureyears lived with disability

Identifiers

PMID39040861
PMCPMC11260792

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.