The Cumulative Incidence of Post-Traumatic Epilepsy After Mild Traumatic Brain Injury: A Systematic Review and Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis Protocol.

A precise understanding of the latency to post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) following a traumatic brain injury (TBI) is necessary for optimal patient care. This precision is currently lacking despite a surprising number of available data sources that could address this pressing need. Following guidance from the Cochrane Collaboration and Joanna Briggs Institute, we conduct a systematic review to address the research questions: What is the cumulative incidence of PTE following mild TBI (mTBI; concussion), and what is the distribution of the latency to onset? We designed a comprehensive search of medical databases and gray literature sources. Citations will be screened on both abstract and full-text levels, independently and in duplicate. Studies will be evaluated for risk of bias independently and in duplicate using published instruments specific to incidence/prevalence studies. Data will be abstracted independently and in duplicate using piloted extraction forms. Disagreements will be resolved by consensus or third-party adjudication. Evidence synthesis will involve pairwise and individual participant data meta-analysis with heterogeneity explored via a set of predetermined subgroups. The robustness of the findings will be subjected to sensitivity analyses based on the risk of bias, outlier studies, and mTBI definitional criteria. The overall certainty in the estimates will be reported using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations). This protocol presents an innovative and impactful approach to build on the growing body of knowledge surrounding post-mTBI PTE. Through a precise understanding of the latency period, this study can contribute to early detection, tailored interventions, and improved outcomes, leading to a substantial impact on patient care and quality of life.